December 4 Weather Ahead Ranges From 60s To Snowy Mix

Saturday December 4

We are in for another roller coaster ride of sorts. Variably weather on the edge of the jet stream will allow a bump up in temps, then just cold enough to bring in a snow and rain mix within a few days.

Morning Surface Weather

The current storm track appears split to our north and south. While High Pressure is off of the Mid Atlantic coast, upper level winds keep streaming in bands of clouds.

Today will be mild, then cooler tomorrow. This will be followed by a warmer Today, with rain. Then a chance for a wintry mix on Wednesday.

Satellite Loop

Still watching bands of clouds racing in from the Northwest. 

Morning Temperatures 

Afternoon Temperatures 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY December 4

Normal Low in Baltimore:  31ºF

Record 13ºF in 1966

Normal High in Baltimore: 49ºF

Record 74ºF 1982

December 5th is Faith in the Flakes Day

Wear you FITF gear to show off your love of snow!

The start of FITF is woven in with my oldest son and the decade with the first date of snow in our region almost every day. I will have more on that later today.

Sunday Temperatures 

Morning

Afternoon

Monday (Warm) Rain

Animation of European Model

Rain shower may begin late Sunday night. Rain on Monday is more likely in the afternoon, but the timing of the rain with this cold front, plus the cloud cover will make the difference in how warm temps may get.

High Temperatures 

The push on the thermometers will depend on the amount of cloud cover and timing the arrival of the cold front later in the day. If that arrives sooner, then temps will be cooler.

Wednesday Snowy Mix?

For the past few days I have been showing the Euro model with this event. The American GFS Model was too warm. Here we see that model tending colder showing a wintry mix (pink), then going to rain (green). We still need to watch this for timing and temps.

Up to this point, the trend I identified has been shown to push this farther south and colder. Now we watch for any more adjustments with all of the model guidance package.

7 Day Forecast

 FITF APPAREL

Also see:

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Winter Folklore Checklist