November 22 Slushy Snow Builds Into Central Maryland This Morning
November 22, 2024 Friday Morning Report This first winter storm pattern has proven to grow colder with each computer model run. The suggestion of snow mixing for the northern suburbs…
Tuesday November 30
My first look at the radar this morning was at 5 AM, and it already showed light snow and flurries. This supports my theory of the model guidance bias. It arrived 3 to 4 hours earlier than suggested and covered more area into Virginia.
Reminder: This may be exciting for snow lovers, but will not be a travel concern. Temps are near or above freeing for most of our region.
However, if you are traveling north of I-76 (Penn Turnpike) there may be a little more on the mountains.
Morning Surface Weather
The Clipper will swing through our north today. There is support to keep light showers around through mid day locally. But farther north, closer to the Low Pressure, there will be more robust showers and some impact in the Poconos, and interior NY to New England.
Morning Radar Snapshot
This coverage is about 2 to 3 hours early than mile guidance sh0wed yesterday. This is a theme I will be applying to storms in the winter ahead.
Radar Simulation —> Slider
This product has been the best performer, but still has been slow and a little limited with comparison to radar verification.
Light showers may continue to around lunchtime.
Morning Temperatures
Not much freezing air to be found, so no worries about any snow flakes you see falling.
Afternoon Temperatures
Still chilly later today.
Weather Almanac: Climate Data
TODAY November 30
Normal Low in Baltimore: 32ºF
Record 12ºF in 1929
Normal High in Baltimore: 51ºF
Record 74ºF 1933
Wednesday Temperatures
Morning
Freezing air will be farther inland.
Afternoon
Starting to warm back up closer to ‘average’.
Looking Ahead:
Tuesday to Monday Animation
The storm track remains to our north.
The next system may bring rain showers Wednesday evening and night. Then a brief warm up Thursday.
The next system looks like rain, at least at the start… on Monday. This will be followed by the next return to temps below average.
7 Day Forecast
I sped up the next rain risk to Wednesday night. Then the warmest day of the week will be Thursday.
We remain mild most of the week, but after the storm on Monday, temps will drop below average again.
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ALL FITF APPAREL
Also see:
What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow
Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow
Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA
NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print
Signals For Early Start To Winter In November
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist
