Tuesday November 30
My first look at the radar this morning was at 5 AM, and it already showed light snow and flurries. This supports my theory of the model guidance bias. It arrived 3 to 4 hours earlier than suggested and covered more area into Virginia.
Reminder: This may be exciting for snow lovers, but will not be a travel concern. Temps are near or above freeing for most of our region.
However, if you are traveling north of I-76 (Penn Turnpike) there may be a little more on the mountains.
The Clipper will swing through our north today. There is support to keep light showers around through mid day locally. But farther north, closer to the Low Pressure, there will be more robust showers and some impact in the Poconos, and interior NY to New England.
This coverage is about 2 to 3 hours early than mile guidance sh0wed yesterday. This is a theme I will be applying to storms in the winter ahead.
This product has been the best performer, but still has been slow and a little limited with comparison to radar verification.
Light showers may continue to around lunchtime.
Not much freezing air to be found, so no worries about any snow flakes you see falling.
Still chilly later today.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 32ºF
Record 12ºF in 1929
Normal High in Baltimore: 51ºF
Record 74ºF 1933
Freezing air will be farther inland.
Starting to warm back up closer to ‘average’.
Tuesday to Monday Animation
The storm track remains to our north.
The next system may bring rain showers Wednesday evening and night. Then a brief warm up Thursday.
The next system looks like rain, at least at the start… on Monday. This will be followed by the next return to temps below average.
I sped up the next rain risk to Wednesday night. Then the warmest day of the week will be Thursday.
We remain mild most of the week, but after the storm on Monday, temps will drop below average again.
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
