February 10 2024
Saturday Morning Update
Yesterday brought us a warm and sunny afternoon that reached 62ºF in Baltimore. It was not a record. This unseasonably or unreasonably warm weather will continue today with more clouds and some rain showers. The better chance of rain will be in the mountains.
More rain will arrive with cooler air on Sunday. Then we watch another storm that will bring rain, ending with some wet snow… on Tuesday. We are lacking arctic air, so with the marginal temps, it will have a minimal impact on the northern part of our area.
Already a mild start, thanks to the cloud cover.
Still warm under the cloud cover. The cluster of rain in the Ohio Valley will reach our mountain region… and spread some spotty showers in metro areas during the afternoon.
The next impulse originating from Texas and rising along that front will pass through the southern half of our region on Sunday.
The next system will bring us rain that may end with wet snow Monday into Tuesday.
Metro area rain showers, most likely between 1 PM and 5 PM.
Sunrise at 7:05 AM
Sunset at 5:38 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record -7ºF in 1899
Normal High in Baltimore: 45ºF
Record 66ºF 1959
SEASONAL SNOW at BWI
9.1 inches
Click here for the maps and full report
Click here or the map to see: The Snow Report Ending Jan 16
This snapshot may help tell the story for the day… Rain is more likely south of Baltimore.
The rain should be ending in time for Super Bowl Party traveling.
There will be rain ending with snow:
For the northern suburbs north of Baltimore…
The temps will likely remain near or just above freezing….
Stickage will be marginal on Tuesday morning.
With Low Pressure about 100 miles East of Ocean City….
This suggests a morning with wet snow near Baltimore and rain to the south.
The northern suburbs near the PA line and into Pennsylvania will have a better chance for some slushy accumulation.
Very similar to the European Model above.
Where is the Arctic air? NOT HERE!!!
Even in the northern suburbs the suggestion is near or just above freezing. There could be slushy snow accumulation, especially at night and early morning. But during the day, it will not be an issue.
There will be accumulation in central PA and closer to metro New York City.
On Tuesday night, I wrote this report explaining the pattern change. Click this map or here for more…
The pattern does appear to be soggy. However….
The bulk of rain Sunday will be south of Baltimore. We will get more on Monday into Tuesday with that end of slushy snow to the north. At this time, I do not see temperatures in our favor.
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Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
