September 8 Clouds Try To Break And Hurricane Earl Cat 2 Warning Bermuda

September 8, 2022

Thursday Morning Update 

There are a lot of circulations off the East Coast.  The weaker storm off the east coast still has influence on our region with lingering clouds. They will try to break up, but some sprinkles or showers are possible.

Farther to the Southeast there is Hurricane Earl. It is now a Category 2 storm with sustained winds at 105 mph.  It is forecast to become a major hurricane later today, passing just east of Bermuda. A warning is in place for the island. More on that below. 

Wind Analysis 

I want to focus on the winds since they are still a factor with our weather from that coastal system. Also, watching Hurricane Earl looks pretty cool!

I have included an interactive weather widget to track Earl below. 

Morning Surface Weather

A few storms over the Atlantic, but the trend is shifting East. While we have lingering clouds, the weak system AND Hurricane Earl will stay to the east.  The clearing in the Mid West will spread our way for Friday and Saturday.

Wind Forecast 8 AM to 8 PM

This circulation is drifting away. Our winds will not be strong, but still from the Northeast.  The flow will continue to chop waves away at the beaches.

Cloud Forecast 8 AM to 8 PM

The atmosphere will be torn between trying to get dry air in place, but still unstable enough to regenerate clouds during the day.

The result will be Partly Sunny with a mix of breaks for some, and spotty drizzle or showers for others. 

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures

A little warmer today.

PICTURE OF THE DAY

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY September 8

Normal Low in Baltimore:  62ºF

Record 46ºF in 1962

Normal High in Baltimore: 82ºF

Record 100ºF 1939

September Begins Meteorological Autumn

Climate Data/Weather Stats For The Month

September Starts Meteorological Autumn: Weather Climate Stats For Maryland at Baltimore

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

Hurricane Earl

This has been upgraded to a Category 2 storm with 105 mph sustained winds.

IR Satellite 

Deep convection is on the North and West sides. This will wrap around and allow for rapid intensification. 

Hurricane Force Winds extend 60 miles from the center.

Tropical Storm Force Winds extend 160 miles from the center.

This is now expected to reach Category 4 as it passes to the East of Bermuda.

National Hurricane Center Update

…EARL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN…

…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA THIS

AFTERNOON…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————-

LOCATION…28.2N 65.4W

ABOUT 285 MI…460 KM S OF BERMUDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…969 MB…28.62 INCHES

Hurricane Warning for Bermuda!

While the track will pass to the east, it is a growing storm with the outer edge clipping the island. 

Rip Currents will reach the US East Coast through the weekend

Weather Widget: Winds

Friday Temperatures 

There may be morning fog, but sunny most of the day to boost numbers.

Morning

Afternoon 

In Case You Missed It

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Looking Ahead

GFS Model Sunday morning to Tuesday Evening

Next storm will try to move in by Sunday morning with rain. This will move out Monday morning, then regenerate showers and storms in the afternoon into Tuesday. 

7 Day Forecast

COMPARE TO THE  PAST

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.

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Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30

NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again

Forecast From Colorado State University

Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

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