January 28 Blizzard Warning For Beaches As Storm Trends Closer West
Friday January 28 – Morning Report
Yesterday I mentioned blizzard conditions for the beaches and now official Blizzard Warnings have been issues. I had also posted my snow map with one caveat: If it busts it will be for more snow. Well, this morning it appears that is the case and there will be a little more snow.
NOAA has commissioned Air Force Hurricane Hunters to fly off the east coast. That ‘additional data’ has been ingested by computer models, resulting in a track a little closer to the coast. That supports the European Model and a little more snow.
I will update my snow map later this morning. But I have a new model snow plot below.
This has been a difficult set up, and we are already seeing some snow well ahead of schedule. Showers continue to today, but the main even develops later this afternoon and tonight. Saturday morning will be more impactful. The storm will rage most of the day on Delmarva. It will end west of the Bay in the morning.
Blizzard Warning And Other Winter Storm Alerts
- Blizzard is qualified by 35 mph sustained winds with snow rates of 1”/Hr or higher for 3 consecutive hours.
- Winter Storm Warnings: Snow likely over 5 inches
- Winter Weather Advisory: Snow likely ‘at least’ 1 to 3 inches.
Morning Set Up
Headlines:
- Today: Snow Showers ALREDY and during the day. Main batch this afternoon expands south from PA to MD. Stickage after 3 PM
- Evening: Snow expands across the region and will stick.
- Friday Night-Saturday: Coastal Storm Bombs Out!
- Saturday Morning: Blizzard at the beaches. Snow may still be falling near Baltimore at sunrise. Winds get stronger.
- Saturday Afternoon: Windy and snow ends west of the Bay. Snow may linger to beaches until close to sunset.
- Sunday: Much Colder!
- Later next week – Warmer!
UPDATED at 8 AM
I posted this on social media…. This band of snow and stockage began between 6:30 AM and 7 AM. It has laid a coating or more in the path (northwest of cities). This is WELL AHEAD OF SCHEDULE and tells me there is more energy in the atmosphere the models are missing. Stand by for update this morning… I will be increasing my snow totals, updating the timeline, and waiting on NWS to expand Advisories farther west.
NEW REPORT READY NOW
Click to see: MY UPDATED CALL FOR SNOWFALL
and Expanded Winter Weather Advisories Farther Inland
Morning Surface Weather
Arctic air is fully in place now.
The clipper is near Chicago and light snow has expanded into our region early… Stand by for updates on possible over achiever.
Morning Temperatures
Note: It will be milder today with temps reaching above freezing afternoon. They will drop this evening and tonight for completed snow stickage.
Weather Almanac: Climate Data
TODAY January 27
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record -3ºF in 1987
Normal High in Baltimore: 42ºF
Record 70ºF 1949
Tracking The Snow
The latest European Model For Saturday Morning
This model may win this event with the closer track….
Snow Animation: NAM 3 KM
2 PM Fri to 2 PM Sat
Snow Snapshots
5 PM Friday
10 PM Friday
5 AM Saturday
10 AM Saturday
Wind Forecast
How Much Snow
Here is the NAM 3 Km NEW TOTALS
My FIRST CALL FOR SNOWFALL
I will be updating my map later this morning.
7 Day Forecast
Based on Baltimore at BWI
Bitter cold will follow this storm, then we have a chance to possibly reach 50ºF or higher by the end of next week.
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ALSO SEE
What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow
ALL FITF GEAR
FITF THUNDERSNOW
Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow
Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA
NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print
Signals For Early Start To Winter In November
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist