Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 01/16/2022 01:50:02 pm
Temperature

24°

Cloudy

11°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

57%

Feels Like

12°

Wind (NE)

13mph

Air Pressure

30.17

Sun
Sun Rise

07:23 AM

Sun Set

05:09 PM

Day Length

09:46 Hours

Difference

1 min 28 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

03:52 PM

Moon Set

06:40 AM

Next: Full Moon

Jan 17,2022

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

24°

41°

Average High
Record Low


(1893)

71°


(1953)
Record High
Current Conditions

January 12 A Little Thaw Then Focus On Strong Storm End Of Weekend

Tropics

Wednesday January 12 2022

This morning is still cold, but with light wind it should feel better. In fact, a little warming to the 40s for many areas over the next couple of days may help take the sting out of the air. 

Next Up: That strong storm is expected at the end of the weekend. It looks more likely there will be an event, but still a big split on track and resulting snow or rain. 

Morning Set Up

Surface Weather

Not much action on the map. A cold start, but High Pressure is dominating much of the Eastern US.

 

 

 

Temperatures 

 

Afternoon Temperatures

Temps will thaw for most of the region into the upper 30s to mid 40s.

 

 

 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY January 12

Normal Low in Baltimore:  24ºF

Record 1ºF in 1981

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 41ºF

Record 70ºF 2020

 



Thursday  Temperatures 

Morning

 

Afternoon

 

Looking Ahead: Winter Storm

Jet Stream

This snapshot shows the deep trough and Upper Level Low right over our region Monday morning. 

The signal is there for a storm. The specifics of the track are less certain.

 

 



 

Storm Animation

European Model

Friday to Monday

This looks VERY IMPRESSIVE. It develops a storm that rides up The Chesapeake Bay Monday morning.  

Note: The energy is currently over the Pacific Ocean and this particular storm has not formed yet. 

This is only one solution, and a closer looks highlights how much the results can vary. 

 

January-12-forecast-winter-storm-ecmwf

 

European Model

Early Monday morning we can see this latest solution bringing heavy snow inland and rain along and east to the Bay. In between could be anything from a slushy snow to icy mix.   

Yesterday this model had the storm well off the coast. I expect there will be more fluctuation in plots over the net few days. 

It’s still too early… 

 

 

GFS:

This Model also changed a lot and now brings the Low well inland for a rain event. 

Also expect this to vary widely.

Still NOT in agreement and still too early for specifics.

This is the time frame to pay attention and start a backup contingency plan for Sunday and Monday events.

 

 



 

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ALSO SEE

 

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

 

ALL FITF GEAR

 

 

 

FITF THUNDERSNOW

 

 

 

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

 

 

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

 

 

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

 

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

 

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

 

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

 

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

 

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

 

Winter Folklore Checklist

 

 

 

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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

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