December 23 Cold Today Then Mild Rain Showers For Christmas

Thursday December 23

The reality of our weather pattern is that we are legitimately back in a seasonably cold air mass. But that will be erased when warmer air arrives for Christmas. So the pattern did turn, it is just not holding… yet!

I have been hearing a lot of frustration about the weather, which may match the feelings about this Covid surge. If you missed my Facebook post, I now have Covid despite all precautions. The only thing I can do it deal with it and look ahead to getting better. I know I will. Perhaps we can apply that to the weather: Looking forward to it getting colder again, because it will. Just that it will be after the Christmas holiday. Eventually, we will get snow back as well.  FITF 

Morning Surface Weather

We are in a cold air mass, with the faint storm track across the Northern US. That is brining light snow through the Great Lakes and into New York and New England. 

We may have some flurries as close as the PA line overnight. That is the closest any snow will get for the holiday. 

Temperatures Morning

Temperatures Afternoon

Sun will mix with high clouds, as temps generally will be near ‘normal’.

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY December 23

Normal Low in Baltimore:  26ºF

Record 0ºF in 1960

Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF

Record 69ºF 1990

Friday Weather

Long before sunrise, there may be some flurries clipping southern PA and northern Maryland. I mention this while the map is not showing it because this plot is not sensitive enough to pick up on flurries. Also, if there is a chance at this time of year I want to mention it. 

During the day, we shift the winds and begin the return of mild weather. 

Morning Temperatures 

Afternoon Temperatures 

Looking Ahead:

Friday morning to Monday Afternoon

Christmas Day: 

Morning showers then afternoon rain. Temps may reach 60ºF around Baltimore, but depends on when the steady rain arrives. If it comes in earlier, then it will be cooler. 

Next Monday: Some wintry mix may fall at the arrival in our northern suburbs… again depending on specifics of the track and timing. I am sorry to be vague, but given the model failures I believe a ‘suggestion’ is the best I can do until I can identify a pattern to jump on. 

7 Day Forecast

ALSO SEE

NOAA OUTLOOK: Warm Mid December, Please Let Me Explain

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Winter Folklore Checklist