December 9 Chilly Today Then Warm Bump Saturday

Thursday December 9

Back to the cold this morning. The majority of the last 3 weeks has been below average but that may get lost with the lack of snow, and bump of warm days. We will get one of them this weekend, followed  by another strong cold front.

Last night I wrote about the NOAA Outlook for warm pattern mid month.  We will be above ‘average’ but only a handful of days will feature those bumps, which may challenge a record high. 

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is overhead, but fast moving air aloft will carry high clouds to dim the sun during the day.  We can see that on the satellite loop below. 

Morning Temperatures

It is cold! We still need winter apparel. 

Water Vapor Satellite Loop

This may make for a beautiful sunrise. 

—-> Check the time in the “Current Conditions” tab on the right.—->

These cirrus clouds may dim the sun and help produce a solar halo and or sun dog this afternoon.

Afternoon Temperatures 

Remaining ‘below’ average, and with diming sunshine will feel chilly.

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY December 9

Normal Low in Baltimore:  30ºF

Record 4ºF in 1876

Normal High in Baltimore: 47ºF

Record 73ºF 1966

Friday Temperatures 

Morning

Afternoon

Temps Warm Ahead Of Next Storm

Saturday Afternoon

The region will surge back the 60s to near 70ºF, before a cold front brings in anthem sharp cool down.

The timing of this will determine how warm we can get.

Storm Animation

The next Low Pressure will pass through the Great Lakes. This will pump in that warm air, then rain Saturday, followed by the colder air. 

Evening Snapshot

7 Day Forecast

We will trend above average, with a few ‘spikes’ of warm days. Already next week’s temps are a challenge. In my NOAA Outlook report last night, we saw temps near 70ºF for next Wednesday. However the overnight model package dropped that.  The guidance is poor beyond 5 days.  We can see trends, but specifics can not be fully accepted. I will be tampering down on extreme projections that far out. 

ALSO SEE

NOAA OUTLOOK: Warm Mid December, Please Let Me Explain

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Winter Folklore Checklist