Current Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 12/06/2021 10:20:02 pm
Temperature

48°

Mostly Cloudy

22°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

36%

Feels Like

42°

Wind (WNW)

17mph

Air Pressure

29.92

Sun
Sun Rise

07:12 AM

Sun Set

04:43 PM

Day Length

09:31 Hours

Difference

0 min 57 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

09:56 AM

Moon Set

07:12 PM

Next: First Quarter

Dec 10,2021

Moon Phase

Waxing Crescent

Climate
Average Low

31°

48°

Average High
Record Low

13°


(2002)

77°


(1998)
Record High
Current Conditions

November 16 Big Warm Up Then Strong Storms This Week

Forecast

Tuesday November 16

The core of the cold air in this segment is moving out. We will modify a little today and then aim for one day this week near 70ºF.  This will be a wild ride, as a cold front will bring an abrupt change snd winter like pattern by the weekend into next week.

This is the active weather we expected, so there maybe some travel impact ahead of Thanksgiving. However, it is still too early to depict how rain and or snow may be spread between the Great Lakes to New England next week.  Will we get in on any flakes? I will begin to track the models on that tomorrow. 

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is in settling in, and as it gets closer to the winds get lighter.  However, the upper level winds may still carry high clouds across our sky.  The BIG WARM UP is just a day or two away.

 

 

What to wear?

Gloves and hat this morning. Also time to warm up the car. But just s light jacket this afternoon. 

 

Morning Temperatures

 

 

Cloud Forecast

Clouds will mix in across the sky, and might dim out the sun at times.

November-16-weather-cloud-forecast

 

Afternoon Temperatures 

 

 

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Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY November 16

Normal Low in Baltimore:  37ºF

Record 19ºF in 1996

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 56ºF

Record 79ºF 2005

 



 

Wednesday Temps

Morning

 

Afternoon 

 

 

 

Thursday Big Swing!

Temps jump to near 70ºF, then crash overnight.   This will come with a cold front the will surge in strong storms, then strong winds for the Northwest.

 

 

 

Looking Ahead: Jet Stream

Blue = Cold

Orange = Warm

Big changes over the next week to 10 days. Big Warm up on Thursday, then the surge of cold air on Friday. There will be a surge of arctic air to establish a trough in the eastern US early next week.

This screams ‘storm’ but it’s early to call the details. At this time, it looks like the storm timing will be Monday and Tuesday… which will be then the colder air moves in.

There will be Lake Effect Snow impacting Cleveland to upstate New York for a few days to follow.

 

November-16-weather-jet-stream

 



 

Next Monday

There will be an abrupt change, but the timing and specifics are likely to be adjusted as we get closer.

 

Temperatures

Arctic air will be moving in, which will spawn the active weather.

 

Storm Set Up

A large cold front will be extended from the Core Low in the Great Lakes. There may be more snow to follow, but still too early to suggest where, etc.

 

 

7 Day Forecast

 

 

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

 

 

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

 

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

 

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

 

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

 

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

 

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

 

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

 

Winter Folklore Checklist

 

 

Faith in the Flakes Gear

 

 

 

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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

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