Tuesday November 23

Cold air has settled in and upper level energy will swing through mid day. We start off clear, but watch clouds build up during the morning. This ‘may’ kick up clouds and a small chance for a sprinkle or flurry. Just want to mention it so you won’t be surprise. Something a little more robust is on the way. 

Thanksgiving weather appears to be our best of the week. It will be mild and great fro Turkey Trots, football, and travel. 

Rain will arrive overnight into early Friday morning. Then we bring in even colder air for the weekend. That is when we watch for a clipper to race in Sunday with a chance for light snow.

What to wear?

Once again, layers and a coat to block the wind. 

Morning Surface Weather

Morning Temperatures

One of the coldest mornings wee have had this season (so far).

Jet Stream: Vorticity

Snapshot:

This energy will help increase clouds late morning into early afternoon. The air is dry, which will limit the chance for anything falling. But there is a small chance for flurry or sprinkle to develop briefly.

Afternoon Wind Forecast

Strong winds form the North and Northwest will gust 25 to 30 mph.

Afternoon Temperatures 

Afternoon Wind Chill

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY November 23

Normal Low in Baltimore:  35ºF

Record 16ºF in 1880

Normal High in Baltimore: 53ºF

Record 74ºF 1979

Wednesday Temperatures 

Morning

Afternoon 

Thanksgiving 

This should be the nicest day of the week:  Sun may fade with late day clouds, but temps should reach back to seasonable levels in the mid to upper 50s.

Rain Animation: 

7 PM Thursday to 7 PM Sunday

This will be another cold front with the bulk of activity overnight. There has been mention that the last few systems has broken up across central Maryland. This looks a little more robust, with a similar timeline. 

Looking ahead to Sunday, a clipper will race in on the cold air and may produce light snow. This is a hint on the maps here, which is why I believe it has a chance. As opposed the the phantom long range events with prior systems vanishing, the error has been fast energy shifting east. 

I see the same error this time enhancing our chances for light snow as that clipper should reach us and verify earlier and a little father north.   Stay tuned…

7 Day Forecast

Faith in the Flakes Gear

Also see:

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Winter Folklore Checklist