February 3, 2024
Saturday Morning Update
This weather pattern has worked out well for the weekend. We have High-Pressure building in and setting up shop to our north. This will keep us dry with sunshine for many days ahead. Temperatures will be near or slightly above average.
What about the rain or snow? Well, since December 1, we have had nearly 14 inches of rainfall. That is DOUBLE the ‘norm,’ and we can use a break to dry out. The next chance for rain will be at the end of next week… Then, we will watch for the active stormy pattern in the Western US to shift east the following week.
High Pressure is in control and is clearing us out. This will set us up for the weekend and much of next week with sunshine.
The storm pattern will track along the southern US.
I will expand on this pattern and further out in time below…
Sunrise at 7:12 AM
Sunset at 5:29 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record 4ºF in 1961
Normal High in Baltimore: 44ºF
Record 67ºF 2020
SEASONAL SNOW at BWI
9.1 inches
Click here for the maps and full report
Click here or the map to see: The Snow Report Ending Jan 16
More Sunshine: Near Seasonal Temps
While that storm tracks to our south and well off the coast, we will be under the influence of High Pressure from Eastern Canada. This will keep our air from the Northeast. That is cool air, and with the sunshine is what will keep our temps close to average or perhaps even a few days on the higher end.
The activity will continue to pound the Western US with that subtropical flow called the Pineapple Express.
The ridge of High Pressure will dominate the eastern US. This will keep us quiet…
While the stormy pattern dominates the Western US. This is a common El Niño setup!
The orange is NOT heat. It is the stable and quiet weather pattern.
The blue represents the trough and storm pattern attempting to return for us in the Eastern US close to Valentine’s Day.
This is not a promise as we are looking 11 days away….
However, the flip of the jet stream may be expected by this time.
If this verifies, it could bring a colder and stormy setup. It is something to watch, just out of reach for now.
Quiet and seasonably cool… even if just a little above average.
The next rain appears to be the end of the work week.
Then, as shown above, we will look for the pattern change close to Valentine’s Day.
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
