December 3 2022
Saturday Morning Update
This is our 3rd time of this repeating cycle, and if you have caught onto the trend, that means morning rain ending close to lunchtime and gusty winds. Then a brief shower in the afternoon followed by colder air.
Below, I have the live radar widget to compare to the model simulations to see how well or poorly they are behaving.
Sunday will be colder for outdoor plans and the roughly 70,000 people at the Ravens game.
Next week we shake the pattern up a little and look for a change on the horizon.
A mild start to the day. Temps will remain in the 50s to near 60ºF most of the day.
The heaviest rain is moving through this morning, but the back edge will still be a few hours behind.
A break for the afternoon, then a line of showers with the actual cold front. See the timeline suggestion below.
Use the controls to pan and zoom the view.
Radar Snapshot at 8 AM
The heaviest rain of the day is moving through metro areas now.
Still mild, but we can see the colder air moving in behind the rain line in the mountains.
8 AM to Midnight
A steady strong southerly flow will shift to the Northwest with the front.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 32ºF
Record 11ºF in 1976
SNOW: 2 inches in 1907
Normal High in Baltimore: 51ºF
Record 72ºF 1998
Comparing The Snow In Decembers With Similar Patterns
Comparing December Cold Pattern Forecast To Snow In Similar Analog Years
December Outlook Trending Colder For Start Of Meteorological Winter
It will be breezy and colder!
Most of the region will be near or below freezing in the morning.
It will be a chilly afternoon at the game.
After a mild midweek, we begin to break the pattern and turn colder next weekend. The middle of the month looks quite wintry with multiple chances of snow events.
I will NOT show synoptic weather maps beyond 1 week because I do not trust them. Most likely after 7 days, what we see will not translate. These jet stream global patterns are more reliable, which is why I show them for longer trends.
After the rain, it will be chilly for the Ravens game. Then mild again next week with rain ahead of the pattern change.
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
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