Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 02/05/2023 12:20:04 pm
Temperature

47°

Mostly Cloudy

19°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

32%

Feels Like

43°

Wind (SSW)

9mph

Air Pressure

30.17

Sun
Sun Rise

07:09 AM

Sun Set

05:31 PM

Day Length

10:22 Hours

Difference

2 min 10 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

05:27 PM

Moon Set

07:30 AM

Next: Full Moon

Feb 05,2023

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

25°

43°

Average High
Record Low

-1°


(1996)

73°


(1991)
Record High
Conditions

Rain Timeline Saturday And Weekend Overview

NFL Football Game
Maryland Weather
rain timeline
Forecast

Friday Night Update

We continue in this 3 day cycle of weather systems, with the next event on the weekend. This has prompted many questions and direct messages about the timing for planning. So I want to address this in a post you can digest in about a minute or so.

The system is developing as we speak, so looking at the weather map does not suggest much. But simply put, the rain will be with us in the morning, making for an ideal opportunity to watch The US Men’s Soccer Match at The World Cup, then head out around lunchtime and the afternoon.  Compare the live radar to the simulation forecast below. 

Headlines:

  • Saturday Morning: Rainy, Breezy and Mild
  • Saturday Mid Day: Rain Ending, still mild.
  • Saturday Afternoon: Still Mild, Dry, Showers in the mountains.
  • Sunday: Colder

 

Friday Evening Surface Weather

Rain developing in the Ohio Valley through Kentucky and Tennessee is what is heading our way. It will be here before sunrise. 

Yes, the storm system’s cold core is well to the north around the Canadian border.  Snow is falling across Minnesota and northern Wisconsin. 

(There are signals that next weekend we may get our first attempt at winter weather. I will deal with that over this weekend).

weather Friday night December 2

 

Live Radar Widget

Use this to compare to the model plots below.

 

Saturday Radar Simulation 

NAM 3 Km Midnight to 8 PM

(Key timeframe snapshots below)

December 3 weather radar rain forecast

Key Timeframes

Note: This product has tended to be about an hour behind, so we may see this verify an hour earlier than shown.

3 AM

Showers reaching metro areas. Steady rain in the mountains. 

December 3 rain radar morning am 3

8 AM

Steady rain will expand across most of the region through the morning. There will be pockets of heavier showers. 

December 3 rain radar morning am 8

 

 

Noon 

The band of heavy rain should be ending for Baltimore and Annapolis, then pushes through the Eastern Shore for another hour or two.

It will be breezy, mild but dry for much of the afternoon in central Maryland. 

December 3 rain radar noon

3 PM

While metro areas should remain dry, showers will redevelop in the western hills and north into central Pennsylvania.

December 3 rain radar afternoon

 

6 PM

Unlike the last system, that final band of rain will not be as pronounced. There will be a strong and colder breeze, but the showers will be hit or miss. 

December 3 rain radar evening

 

Wind Forecast

Saturday 8 AM to 8 PM

Winds will be breezy from the South, keeping the day mild. Then swing to the Northwest in the evening bringing back the colder air. 

December 3 wind forecast

Temperature Forecast

Saturday Morning 

With the rain and southerly wind, temps will be in the upper 40s to 50s.

December 3 weather temperatures Saturday morning

Saturday Afternoon 

Remaining mild in the upper 50s to near 60, with the signal of colder air showing up in the mountains.

December 3 weather temperatures Saturday afternoon

 

Sunday Morning

Most of the region will be below freezing with many west of the cities in the 20s.

December 3 weather temperatures Sunday morning

Sunday Afternoon 

If you are heading to the Ravens Game, it will be cold… Remaining in the Upper 30s.

December 3 weather temperatures Sunday afternoon

 

FYI

The buzz about wintry weather next weekend is growing. However, the models are still having trouble locking in on how it may evolve. I will address this over the weekend.  I do not want to pump up the hype with info that is too vague now.

Faith in the Flakes. 

 

 

COLD Pattern Change (Click Images For The Report)

NOAA Outlook joins the party with COLDER TREND

 

 

NEW Faith In The Flakes Gear

Saturday, rain forecast, weekend, weather, radar

 

 

My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!

I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.

Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption

 

 

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook

 

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations

 

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

 

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

 

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

 

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

 

Faith in the Flakes Gear

 

SNOWSTIX – Available Now

 

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

 

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

 

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media