Saturday February 19 2022
Late morning Report
The arctic front on the way today has two lines of snow pushing out ahead of it. The first one will cross through northern Maryland and Southern Pennsylvania. The second line just ahead of the front has already prompted Snow Squall Warnings in central PA. The arrival is plotted in the timeline below as it should reach metro Baltimore.
Winds will pick up as temperatures fall. So in addition to our Wind Advisory we will have an abrupt return to winter as the day progresses. This may impact your plans and hopefully you will dress accordingly for this evening.
Late Morning Set Up
At 10:30 AM, the cold front was passing across the Ohio and Pennsylvania border. Two lines of snow have developed ahead of it.
A Snow Squall Warning has been issued in west/centra PA with the intense burst expected. Travel will be impacted with near White Out conditions of zero visibility an a quick 1 inch or so of snow.
The first one will be reaching Hagerstown, Westminster and York in the next hour. It may hold together for Bel Air and Elkton to Wilmington DE. But if you miss the first one, the second one will more likely reach these areas and expand into metro Baltimore early this afternoon.
Radar Simulation —> slider
11 AM to 7 PM
Wind Advisory
Model Guidance supports the potential for gusts with the front 50 to 60 mph.
Note: Strong wind will remain during the day as it ushers in colder air.
Wind Animation
12 PM to 7 PM
Afternoon Snapshot
Late Morning Temperatures
10:30 AM- Arctic air to the west of the cold front will arrive by mid afternoon and evening.
Temperature Animation
12 PM to 7 PM
Extended Forecast (initially issued this morning)
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ALSO SEE
What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow
ALL FITF GEAR
FITF THUNDERSNOW
Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow
Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA
NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print
Signals For Early Start To Winter In November
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
#FITF