Saturday February 5 – Morning Report
While you were sleeping the cold air filled in and was followed by snow showers. This shouldn’t be too much of a surprise. I mentioned the upper level energy following the storm, just that it arrived a little early.
This opens us up to the core of the cold air, which we can see in two radar loops below.
While next week will get back to near and above average temps, Mid February is expected to turn cold and wintry again.
Headlines
- Morning: Snow Showers
- Afternoon: Windy and Cold
- Next Week: Temps Warming
- Outlook Mid Month Wintry Weather Returns With Polar Vortex Disruption
Doppler Radar Loop (1 of 2)
3 AM to 5 AM
Here we can see a line of enhancing snow as it crossed central Maryland. This was the leading trough, and may have dropped a dusting of snow on the ground.
Doppler Radar Loop (2 of 2)
5:45 M to 7:10 AM
The structure here is different, showing the banding of showers and possible squalls. These bands are more spread out, but also can drop a coating of snow on the ground and pavement. Temperatures are cold enough to support it now.
Radar Snapshot at 7:15 AM
Snow showers have expanded into Central Maryland at sunrise. This may drop a coating of snow on the ground around the Baltimore Beltway, Howard County, and may reach BWI to Annapolis.
Morning Set Up
Off the East Coast goes the old front and storm that crossed the nation. We are now in a cold pattern, marked by the snow showers this morning. Winds will remain gusty, and we can’t rule out more flurries or a snow shower.
Morning Temperatures
The freeze has reached the beaches.
Afternoon
Temperatures
Wind Forecast
Wind Chill
This is what it will ‘feel like’
Weather Almanac: Climate Data at BWI
TODAY February 5
Seasonal Snow: 13.3”;
+4.7″ ABOVE AVERAGE
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record -1ºF in 1996
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 73ºF 1991
Sunday
The weekend will end cold, but quiet.
Morning Temperatures
Afternoon Temperatures
Monday
There is still a chance for some light showers nearby, more likely on Delmarva. The better chance of showers or steady light rain will be Monday night into Tuesday Morning.
Looking Ahead
Winter has more in store…
Mid Month we will see another push of arctic air in the jet stream, We may begin to see this develop at the end of net week, through Valentine’s Day.
Here’s The European Jet Stream Loop
No promise for Valentine’s Day specifically, but that is in the window for wintry weather to make a visit.
Support From Dr. Cohen
A ‘stretched’ Polar Vortex is the disruption we need to send arctic air our way
“My name is PV, stretched PV” (aka stratospheric #polarvortex). GFS forecasts coming around to predicting almost textbook looking stretched PV for second week of February with relatively #cold temperatures first in Central & East Asia & then east of the Rockies in Canada & the US pic.twitter.com/3HuOTsxdU8
— Judah Cohen (@judah47) February 3, 2022
7 Day Forecast
Next week will be slightly above seasonal norm. I will be watching Friday for any adjustment of cooler air arriving earlier and then the return of real winter cold into the following week.
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ALSO SEE
What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow
ALL FITF GEAR
FITF THUNDERSNOW
Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow
Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA
NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print
Signals For Early Start To Winter In November
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist
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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
#FITF