Special Statement For A Snow Burst Today
Thursday Morning Update January 16 2025 The system we were expecting today has already produced morning snow showers and flurries. It has arrived earlier than expected, which may be the…
Saturday December 11 at 6 PM
I have received a lot of messages today form people with storm anxiety. After the devastating images from last night’s deadly tornadoes, I understand the concern for our region today.
Yes, this cold front is from that same storm system, but it there is less energy available now. We have strong winds, and some squall lines with the small chance to turn severe.
In the post, I have the latest timelines for wind, rain, and even a live widget to track the radar.
Evening Surface Weather
Reminder, you can see the local current conditions in the Currents Tab on the right –> Tap each tile for more info. See the top menu to change the location to another regional airport.
Satellite Loop
A very sharp back edge to this front highlights to contrast of air masses feeding energy into the system.
Storm Outlook Reminders
Severe Storm Potential
Marginal means only isolated cells may turn severe. The chance is 15% or less.
Wind Advisory
See the wind forecast below.
Radar Loop
4 PM to 6 PM
The line of storms developed well ahead of the cold front and pushed into southern Maryland this afternoon.
This highlighted the energy in the atmosphere and continued to validate the point that our high resolution models are not perfect, but helpful.
The western line seems to fade while crossing the mountains. This is expected to regenerate while passing central Maryland this evening.
Doppler Radar Snapshot at 6 PM
Radar Simulation —-> slider
Staring at 6 PM
This high resolution model did miss some of the activity we are already seeing. There are two take aways to apply to this timeline:
- There may be more rain than shown here.
- The timing may be about 1 hour faster/earlier than shown here.
Live Radar Widget
Compare to the simulation above to how the timing is working out.
See the wind and temperature forecast below.
Wind Animation Through 7 AM
The winds will swing to the NorthWest behind the front. This may come with an initial surge of the strongest winds, then hold strong through midnight steady 20 to 30 mph. Some gusts may still reach to 50 mph.
Temperatures Through 7 AM
Temperatures at 8 AM
Lows should be in the 30 for most in central Maryland, with freezing conditions inland.
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ALSO SEE
NOAA OUTLOOK: Warm Mid December, Please Let Me Explain
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Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
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Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist
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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
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