Wednesday December 8
I woke up this morning to look a the radar, and it appeared like the original forecast. I don’t want to get ahead of my skis here. I still believe this will be more for show, but you have a good chance to see snow falling today. Perhaps getting a coating on the grass. But pavement for most areas will not be an issue. However, I will watch falling temps near the MD/PA line with the early morning setting just in case.
Morning Surface Weather
Well, we have light snow spread on radar. It is still disorganized, and some virga (not reaching the ground) but still trying to push out flakes. The standard winter set up applies waiting for air to saturate and watching ground temps for stickage.
Morning Temperatures
Temps may still drop a few degrees, putting the normal colder inland areas at the freezing mark as originally expected. Also metro areas should remain just above 32ºF, so no road impact expected.
What if Lucy took away the football… But what IF SHE PUT IT BACK?
Radar Simulation through 7 PM
The HRRR Model is our best guidance in short term, but NOT perfect!
Noon Plot – May apply two hours early.
A PULSE or BURST of snow is possible in central Maryland, but temps will keep roads wet – following the original forecast.
When this reaches southern Maryland and lower Eastern Shore, the roads will also be wet there.
Also, a coating on the grass is back in play.
Temperatures
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Weather Almanac: Climate Data
TODAY December 8
Normal Low in Baltimore: 30ºF
Record 10ºF in 1882
Normal High in Baltimore: 47ºF
Record 74ºF 1980
Thursday Temperatures
Morning
Colder air will spill behind this little storm system, for a day.
Afternoon
Temps Warm Ahead Of Next Storm
Saturday Temperatures
The region will surge back the 60s to near 70ºF, before a cold front brings in anthem sharp cool down.
The timing of this will determine how warm we can get. Considering that systems arrive sooner than shown, w could see the rain by noon, cutting off the warming earlier.
Storm Animation
Friday Evening To Sunday Afternoon
The next Low Pressure will pass through the Great Lakes. This will pump in that warm air, then rain Saturday, followed by the colder air.
7 Day Forecast
Light snow today, then colder tomorrow. We warm again ahead of the next storm on Saturday. Only to cool down with a windy Sunday.
Next week we will enter a warm period again.
Also see:
What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow
Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow
Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA
NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print
Signals For Early Start To Winter In November
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist
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