Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 01/16/2022 02:30:02 pm
Temperature

27°

Cloudy with Light Snow

15°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

61%

Feels Like

18°

Wind (NE)

9mph

Air Pressure

30.09

Sun
Sun Rise

07:23 AM

Sun Set

05:09 PM

Day Length

09:46 Hours

Difference

1 min 28 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

03:52 PM

Moon Set

06:40 AM

Next: Full Moon

Jan 17,2022

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

24°

41°

Average High
Record Low


(1893)

71°


(1953)
Record High
Current Conditions

November 27 Update On Light Snow And Early Winter Pattern

Winter Weather
Forecast

Saturday November 27

The cold air is in place and we remain with gusty winds and the chill today. While we start with clouds, there should be more sun in the afternoon. 

The next system is a clipper, which is quick and does not have a lot of moisture. However, there will be just enough to produce a little light snow or mix of showers overnight into early Sunday. 

Trivia: Baltimore reached a record high of 74ºF on this date in 1896.

Looking Ahead: The pattern is showing a strong signal of early winter. We will get a brief warm up, but a surge of arctic air is set to arrive during the first week of December.

 

Morning Surface Weather

The clipper in Iowa will pass to our north overnight.

Light snow and or rain showers will reach metro areas after midnight, and likely be moving out at sunrise. 

Borderline temps might allow a coating + in the normally colder inland areas. (My first call map is below)

 

 

Morning Temperatures

Not as cold as yesterday, but clouds and wind may make it feel like it was.

 

Wind Gusts

Not as windy as yesterday, but enough to be noticeable 

 

Afternoon Temperatures 

We settle in the cold, but the clouds will break up, especially in metro and southern areas. 

 

Wind Chills

 

 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY November 27

Normal Low in Baltimore:  33ºF

Record 18ºF in 1991

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 52ºF

Record 74ºF 1896

 



 

Snow Showers

This is the NAM 3KM Model. This shows a leading edge of light snow by midnight across the MD/PA line.  Then a second cluster during the early morning.

Notes:

This model simulation below is a ‘suggestion’ and not perfect!  I see colder air aloft to support to support at least flakes falling in central MD.

I have noticed a trend over the past 2 months to verify more on radar than the simulation on this product. That is why I added ‘Flurries to Light Snow’ in metro areas but don’t expect impact. 

Radar Simulation 

November-27-weather-snow-radar

 

My First Call For Snowfall (from last night)

 

UPDATE:

See The SNOW RECAP From SUNDAY MORNING

 

ALSO SEE: UPDATING WEATHER MAPS

NOAA Winter Weather Maps

 

Snow and Ice Forecasts From Area NWS Offices

 

Sunday Temperatures 

Morning

The freezing line should be north of the cities, which is where a light coating is possible. Farther inland and high in elevation could get a burst to lay and stay with a little more. 

 

Afternoon 

There will be clearing and warming in the afternoon. This is an example of how it can snow early in the day with high temps in the 40s….

 

ALL FITF APPAREL 20% OFF

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Outlook Mon Nov 29 to Mon Dec 6

This jet stream animation shows the brief warm up later this week, followed by reinforcing troughs of cold air pulsing in. This looks like a solid winter pattern. It establishes a colder than average pattern early in the season. This is the early start to winter, but too early to say how any weather systems will develop with snow. 

 

November-27-weather-winter-jet-stream

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Also see:

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

 

 

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

 

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

 

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

 

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

 

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

 

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

 

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

 

Winter Folklore Checklist

 

 

 

 

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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

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