Saturday October 30 2021

The storm that blew through on Friday had brought strong winds and the expected line of heavy rain during the afternoon and evening. But the hardest impact of that event has been and continues to be on the Chesapeake Bay and tributaries. A few spots have hit Record Flood Stage from Havre de Grace to Solomons Island. Other areas may have not reached their highest levels, but flooding ranged from Moderate to Major.

Flooding remains an issue this morning primarily because the high water is being held in place with winds from the south.  They are not as strong, but limits the tide flowing out.  Gradually that will improve.

This post is a focus on the Bay flooding and forecast water levels. I will have a full weather report to follow.

Water Levels: Observed and Forecast

Selected stations from North to South

Havre de Grace – just .21 Ft below flood stage record at 5.8 Ft in Isabel.

Moderate Flood Stage: There has been damage on the promenade

Baltimore at Fort McHenry – Observed + 4.92 Ft was thankfully below the forecast 5.5 to 6 Ft, and not the record of 8.12 Ft seen with Isabel. It was bad, but why I hesitated to correlate with that hurricane.

Moderate Flood Stage

Annapolis- The Severn River reached 4.49 Ft, well below the record of 7.2 Ft.

Moderate Flood Stage

Cambridge – The Chesapeake Bay stayed 1 Ft below the record, but flooding did reach inland on Delmarva with some rivers to places like Salisbury.

Major Flood Stage

Solomons Island – The Patuxent River set a new record of 4.82 Ft earlier today.

Almost Major Flood Stage

This is where we saw the photo of docks being destroyed.

Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories

Wind Forecast

10 AM Saturday to 6 PM Sunday

Winds remain light, but from the South today. That will hold water levels high, but they will slowly recede. The winds will shift and help with improvement on Sunday.  Here we see the wind flow forecast.

Water Level Forecast To Drop

Click the map for the animated forecast for water levels, and also see forecasts for winds, currents, water temps, and salinity.

Central Maryland Flooding 

Here is a collection of flood video and photos from the afternoon.

You can search for many other spot forecasts here:

Operational Bay Forecasts

Click to see water forecast levels, winds, and tides for dozens of locations

High Tide and Low Tide Tables

West Side Chesapeake Bay

Havre de Grace

Saturday

• High   5:26 AM
• Low   1:03 PM
• High   5:59 PM

Bowley Bar, Middle River

Saturday

• High   3:04 AM
• Low  10:19 AM
• High   3:37 PM
• Low   9:27 PM

Baltimore, Fort McHenry

Saturday

• High   2:13 AM
• Low   9:36 AM
• High   2:46 PM
• Low   8:44 PM

Annapolis, US Naval Academy

Saturday

• High  12:43 AM
• Low   7:52 AM
• High   1:16 PM
• Low   7:00 PM

Chesapeake Beach

Friday

High  11:26 PM

Saturday

• Low   6:31 AM
• High  11:59 AM
• Low   5:39 PM

Solomons Island, Patuxent River

Friday

• High   9:35 PM

Saturday

• Low   4:50 AM
• High  10:08 AM
• Low   3:58 PM
• High  10:29 PM

East Side Chesapeake Bay

Charlestown, Northeast River

Saturday

• High 6:05 AM
• Low   1:39 PM
• High   6:38 PM

Metapeake, Kent Island

Saturday

• High  12:43 AM
• Low   7:47 AM
• High   1:16 PM
• Low   6:55 PM

Choptank River – Cambridge

Friday

• High  11:31 PM

Saturday

• Low   7:08 AM
• High  12:04 PM
• Low   6:16 PM

Wicomico Rivier, Salisbury

Friday

• High  10:35 PM

Saturday

• Low   5:11 AM
• High  11:14 AM
• Low   5:20 PM
• High  11:35 PM

Atlantic Coast

Ocean City Fishing Pier

Saturday

• High   3:14 AM
• Low   9:14 AM
• High   3:42 PM
• Low  10:06 PM

Search For More Tide Charts

 Maryland Tide Tables

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Winter Folklore Checklist

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Faith in the Flakes Gear

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