Friday October 29

The storm is not completely done. The bulk of the rain has moved through, but there will be some lingering showers overnight. More importantly,  the focus remains on the high water in the Chesapeake Bay.

I wanted to share some flooding that has already occurred, and also the forecast through Saturday. This includes select locations for high water and High/Low Tides.

While the storm did underperform with wind gusts, it has lived up to flooding potential already. The high tide overnight is expected to produce the highest water levels, but the forecasts below are lowered a little from earlier.

Flooding View

The high water on Friday was substantial. In Southern Maryland it destroyed these docks in California, by Solomons Island.

Storm View: Friday Evening

The wind and water flow has prevented waster from draining out of the Bay. The winds are lighter now, but will still keep water levels up through Saturday.

The Wind Advisory has been dropped, and it seems the gusts remained below potential for most of the region. The fast winds remained aloft, but did not completely reach the surface. 

However, the wind flow has shifted to the South. That keeps the pressure on the Chesapeake Bay. The storm already did not allow the low tide to drain out, and we have at least one more complete tide cycle that will push higher water into already flooded areas. 

Flood Advisories and Warnings

Central Maryland Flooding 

Here is a collection of flood video and photos from the afternoon.

High Water Forecast: 11 PM Friday

Click to image to see the full animation 

High Water Forecasts

Select Locations Shown here:

Baltimore: Water Levels Expected to reach 5.75 Ft above normal.

Annapolis: Water Levels Expected to reach 5.6 Ft above normal.

Cambridge: Water Levels Expected to reach 5.75 Ft above normal.

Solomons: Water Levels Expected to reach 5.75 Ft above normal.

Flooding  in Southern Maryland

Oct 29, 2021 flooding and big wave action on Chesapeake Bay in southeastern St. Mary’s County, Md./ Tanner Creek. @TonyPannWBAL @NWS_BaltWash @ReedTimmerAccu @dcsplicer @DCstorms @MChasercon @JimCantore @iCyclone @JustinWeather @MetzStormMedia pic.twitter.com/kYA7wBo36n

— Tim Grooms (@tim_grooms) October 29, 2021

You can search for many other spot forecasts here:

Operational Bay Forecasts

Click to see water forecast levels, winds, and tides for dozens of locations

High Tide and Low Tide Tables

West Side Chesapeake Bay

Havre de Grace

Saturday 

• High   5:26 AM
• Low   1:03 PM
• High   5:59 PM  

Bowley Bar, Middle River

Saturday 

• High   3:04 AM
• Low  10:19 AM 
• High   3:37 PM
• Low   9:27 PM

Baltimore, Fort McHenry

Saturday 

• High   2:13 AM 
• Low   9:36 AM
• High   2:46 PM
• Low   8:44 PM

Annapolis, US Naval Academy

Saturday 

• High  12:43 AM
• Low   7:52 AM
• High   1:16 PM
• Low   7:00 PM

Chesapeake Beach 

Friday 

High  11:26 PM

Saturday 

• Low   6:31 AM 
• High  11:59 AM
• Low   5:39 PM  

Solomons Island, Patuxent River

Friday

• High   9:35 PM 

Saturday 

• Low   4:50 AM 
• High  10:08 AM
• Low   3:58 PM
• High  10:29 PM 

East Side Chesapeake Bay

Charlestown, Northeast River

Saturday

• High 6:05 AM
• Low   1:39 PM  
• High   6:38 PM

Metapeake, Kent Island

Saturday 

• High  12:43 AM
• Low   7:47 AM 
• High   1:16 PM
• Low   6:55 PM

Choptank River – Cambridge

Friday

• High  11:31 PM 

Saturday 

• Low   7:08 AM
• High  12:04 PM
• Low   6:16 PM 

Wicomico Rivier, Salisbury

Friday

• High  10:35 PM

Saturday 

• Low   5:11 AM
• High  11:14 AM
• Low   5:20 PM
• High  11:35 PM

Atlantic Coast

Ocean City Fishing Pier

Saturday 

• High   3:14 AM
• Low   9:14 AM
• High   3:42 PM
• Low  10:06 PM

Search For More Tide Charts

 Maryland Tide Tables

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Winter Folklore Checklist

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

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