Monday Night July 11 Update
The next cold front will be arriving later on Tuesday. After a brief surge into the low to middle 90s, plus the peak energy later afternoon and evening, there is a chance that developing storms may turn severe.
I wanted to present this ‘suggestion’ from the NAM 3Km Model to help you plan your outdoor activities. Also, I will have a full report in the morning and we can compare to this to see if there is any trend with timing or intensity.
Slight Risk For Severe Storms
The NOAA outlook is focused around metro Baltimore and areas west and north.
Potential for damming wind, large hail, and isolated tornados.
This is based on the timing, but I do believe we need to consider the potential for severe storms lasting into the night as the line crosses Rt 50 around Annapolis and across Delmarva and southern Maryland to about midnight.
Temperature Forecast
Radar Simulation —> 4 PM to 1 AM
The peak timing of storms:
- 4 PM to 8 PM – Southern Pennsylvania to northern Maryland
- 6 PM to 10 PM – Metro Baltimore through central Maryland
- 8 PM to Midnight – Annapolis to Easton, then southern Maryland
Radar Simulation Animation
Next Update: Around 6:30 AM Tuesday
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.