Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 05/17/2024 04:40:04 am
Temperature

63°

Cloudy

57°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

81%

Feels Like

63°

Wind (N)

5mph

Air Pressure

29.85

Sun
Sun Rise

05:50 AM

Sun Set

08:15 PM

Day Length

14:25 Hours

Difference

1 min 43 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

02:42 PM

Moon Set

03:03 AM

Next: Full Moon

May 23,2024

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

52°

74°

Average High
Record Low

33°


(1956)

93°


(2017)
Record High
Conditions

Severe Storm Risk Timeline Tuesday

NOAA
Severe Weather
Forecast

Monday Night July 11 Update

The next cold front will be arriving later on Tuesday. After a brief surge into the low to middle 90s, plus the peak energy later afternoon and evening, there is a chance that developing storms may turn severe.

I wanted to present this ‘suggestion’ from the NAM 3Km Model to help you plan your outdoor activities. Also, I will have a full report in the morning and we can compare to this to see if there is any trend with timing or intensity. 

Slight Risk For Severe Storms

The NOAA outlook is focused around metro Baltimore and areas west and north. 

Potential for damming wind, large hail, and isolated tornados.

This is based on the timing, but I do believe we need to consider the potential for severe storms lasting into the night as the line crosses Rt 50 around Annapolis and across Delmarva and southern Maryland to about midnight. 

 



Temperature Forecast 

 

Radar Simulation —> 4 PM to 1 AM

 

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The peak timing of storms:

  • 4 PM to 8 PM – Southern Pennsylvania to northern Maryland
  • 6 PM to 10 PM – Metro Baltimore through central Maryland
  • 8 PM to Midnight – Annapolis to Easton, then southern Maryland

 

Radar Simulation Animation 

 

July-12-weather-severe-storm-radar-forecast

 

Next Update: Around 6:30 AM Tuesday

In Case You Missed It

Waterspout Spotted Over Chesapeake Bay Sunday

Waterspout On The Chesapeake Bay Sunday July 10: Photos And Radar Loops

 

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Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30

NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again

 

 

Forecast From Colorado State University

Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

 

Related Posts

 

NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms

 

 

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

 

 

Recent Storm Reports

May 22 Hail And Wind Damage

May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather

 

 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.