Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 11/14/2024 11:20:03 pm
Temperature

46°

Cloudy

44°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

93%

Feels Like

42°

Wind (NE)

7mph

Air Pressure

30.03

Sun
Sun Rise

06:49 AM

Sun Set

04:52 PM

Day Length

10:03 Hours

Difference

1 min 55 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

03:53 PM

Moon Set

05:14 AM

Next: Full Moon

Nov 15,2024

Moon Phase

Waxing Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

37°

57°

Average High
Record Low

18°


(1986)

77°


(1989)
Record High
Conditions

Saturday March 26 Rain And Snow Showers Then Polar Vortex Disruption

Polar Vortex
Maryland Weather
Winter Weather
Forecast

Saturday March 26

Morning Report

This is the weekend we get the reboot of winter.  I have been mentioning the Polar Vortex ‘Disruption’ because that core circulation will be dislodged and pushed south.  It will NOT be on top of us, but it will be tracking through northern New England. After seeing snow mixed in with showers and then a few morning deep freezes, it will be hard to doubt.

Today we have a disturbance that will bring in the initial colder air. Rain showers will develop on gusty winds.  While the high temp will be near 50ºF, that will be early afternoon, then drop along with some snow or graupel mixed showers. 

The mountains will be getting accumulating snow with as much as 6 inches in parts of western Maryland. 

The core of the cold air for metro and coastal areas will be late Sunday into Monday. Most of next week will be chilly, but a brief warm up will come with rain by Thursday. Let’s take a look.

Monday Morning Set Up

Surface Weather

 

Temperatures 

 

Jet Stream Energy

Vorticity (spin aloft) will be pivoting through this afternoon. This encourages cold formation and development of showers

Animation Saturday Morning To Sunday Afternoon

2 PM Snapshot

The main disturbance will move in during the afternoon. 

 



 

Afternoon Temperatures 

Quick Drop From Early Highs

2 PM Temperatures 

Your weather app may show a high in the 50s, but that will be early…

Winds

Strong winds may gust to 30 mph and usher in the colder air.

4 PM

Radar Simulation Timeline —-> slider

 

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Radar Animation To Sunday Morning

NAM 3 Km Model

 

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Snowfall Forecast

Many ski areas have closed for the season, but could see as much as 6 inches of new accumulation this weekend.

 

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY March 26

Seasonal Snow: 14.4”

 

Normal Low in Baltimore:  37ºF

Record 21º F in  1878

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 57ºF

Record 84ºF 1921

 



 

Polar Vortex Disruption 

Here is a comparison of the Jet Stream Plots From Saturday To Sunday. Here we can see the transition of the Polar Vortex into Northern New York and New England 

 

Saturday Afternoon 

 

Sunday Afternoon 

 

Sunday Temperatures 

Morning 

Afternoon

 

Monday Morning…

Here comes the Deep Freeze

 

 

7 Day Forecast

 

 

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ALSO SEE

 

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

 

ALL FITF GEAR

 

 

 

FITF THUNDERSNOW

 

 

 

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

 

 

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

 

 

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

 

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

 

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

 

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

 

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

 

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

 

Winter Folklore Checklist

 

 

 




Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather

 

 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.

#FITF