February 11, 2024
Sunday Morning Update
It is Super Bowl Sunday, and if you have plans to travel for a watching party, the good news is the weather should not be an issue locally. We are expecting rain today, but mainly showers, with steady rain into Southern Maryland… and mostly ending by the evening. Some spotty showers may continue tonight, but a minor detail.
I have included the Live Radar Widget to track the rain…
If you are coming here looking for snow on Tuesday Morning to bring you a gift of a day off school or work, then I hope you live in central Pennsylvania to New York and New England. That is where it will happen.
The home base area in the Mid-Atlantic centered around Baltimore will miss out on this. That has always been my expectation, but it looks like even the northern suburbs may not get much, either. Let’s take a look.
Already a mild start, thanks to the cloud cover.
A very active storm pattern along this frontal boundary. The main source region is in Texas, with colder air to the north… just not fully able to reach our region in time.
Today the wave of Low Pressure tracks the steady rain into Southern Maryland and southward.
Tomorrow, the next wave of Low Pressure will track closer, but the colder air will advance to the central Pennsylvania mountains, New York, and New England.
10 AM to 10 PM
Mid-day showers in central Maryland. Steady rain south…
This should end by evening, but some leftover sprinkles may return tonight.
Sunrise at 7:04 AM
Sunset at 5:39 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record -6ºF in 1899
Normal High in Baltimore: 45ºF
Record 72ºF 1887
SEASONAL SNOW at BWI
9.1 inches
Click here for the maps and full report
Click here or the map to see: The Snow Report Ending Jan 16
Most of this event will be rain for us, arriving in the evening into Tuesday morning. There may be some snow mixing in the far northern suburbs… Regardless of whether you see snow or not, the impact area will be in central Pennsylvania.
The European Model’s original solution seems to be close to the current accepted result.
The Winter Storm Watch continues to be appropriate. I doubt there will be much to talk about south of Harrisburg other than maybe some snow showers as this ends.
On Tuesday night, I wrote this report explaining the pattern change. Click this map or here for more…
A quick glance AFTER seeing the miss from the snow…
Temperatures will be near or just below average this week. We are LACKING arctic air.
The next chance for snow or a mix maybe next weekend.
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
