October 3 Patchy Fog And Summer Heat Then Fall Chill This Weekend

October 3, 2023

Tuesday Morning Update

We are in a pattern with a few more repeats of these summer-like days. However, there has been a slight increase in humidity. This has helped more morning fog form, especially in spots around the Northeastern Chesapeake Bay and inland valleys. It will also feel a little more sticky and summer-like this afternoon.

We are still on for the arrival of a strong cold front to end the week. Showers on Friday and rain on Saturday will bring in a fall chill this weekend. The Orioles’ first home game of the playoffs is Saturday, so I will be paying close attention to the rain timing. It’s too early to lock in on it.

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is in control. This means light winds and as it shifts East will help to bring in more humidity on the back side.

Visibility

This gives an idea of where the fog has been developing and is more likely to impact traffic.

Wake Up Temperatures

This does have a summer feel to the air with a little more humidity.

Temperature Forecast

Much like yesterday, many areas will reach into the lower 80s.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY October 3

Sunrise at 7:04 AM

Sunset at 6:46 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  52ºF

Record 34ºF in 1974

Normal High in Baltimore: 73ºF

Record 92ºF 1919

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Wednesday

If your area is prone to morning fog (by the bay, a reservoir, or valley) you may see some to start the day. Then the sun will dominate and warm up the afternoon quickly.

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon Temperatures

Again in the lower 80s.

Jet Stream Animation

Snapshots

Tuesday

Still feels like summer.

Sunday

The core of the chilly air will settle in with brisk winds.

Animation: Tuesday to Next Monday

After we kick this trough off the coast, a ridge with High Pressure will build in a warmer air mass all week. The next modification will be noticeable next weekend. That is the pattern change that will truly make it feel like Autumn.

Rain Forecast Friday to Sunday

The cold front will help ignite scattered showers on Friday, but more rain is likely on Saturday. I know it is the Orioles’ first home playoff game and I will NOT lock on any promises yet. Just plan for chilly temps and a chance to get wet.

Sunday Morning – Inland Frost

If the clouds clear and winds settle, temps may have a chance to drop into the 30s for ‘some’ inland suburbs.

Most people away from the water will definitely experience a fall-like feel with temperatures in the 40s.

The mountains will drop into the 30s and could have their first frost.

7 Day Forecast

Still feeling like summer for a few days, and then we look for increasing clouds on Thursday.

Friday brings in some showers, with a better chance of rain on Saturday. This will come with a chilly wind and the colder air settles in Sunday and Monday.

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.

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