May 9 Cooler With Rain And Severe Storm Risk Tonight South
Thursday May 9 Morning Report Today is the first day of the year with sunrise before 6 AM in Baltimore, but we won’t see it. After a high temperature of…
August 27 2022
Saturday Morning Update
We remain in the very warm and increasingly humid set up. A subtle boundary is identified on the weather map as a cold front this morning, but it is not cold on the other side. Just a little cooler and less muggy.
That boundary was over the Chesapeake Bay yesterday… If you are on my Facebook Page, then maybe you saw my update about the TVS. A Tornado Vortex Signature popped up in the path of a group boat ride I was on.
It was a lone cell, but very powerful for those in its path. It also only lasted about an hour.
This is the danger we have for a few more days… Most of us remain dry, but those that do get cells, have the possibility of reaching severe limits.
Today the focus will shift to the beaches during the early afternoon. Expect possible storms around Ocean City to Rehoboth between 1 PM and 4 PM. See the radar simulations below.
About That Boat Ride….
With the help of my friends: Walter George from Annapolis Boat Sales, Harley Magden from Window Nation, and Larry Rogers (Maryland Trek Crew Chief and Mid Atlantic Aerial) we gathered a few “Dad’s” of kids honored in recent Maryland Treks. Our photo was taken at sunset with the Bay Bridge in the background… but the sun was off to the right behind low horizon clouds.
This was a great time for them to connect and relax with the common thread of having kids go through cancer treatment.
Two of the dads have lost their daughters. There is a bond they had before they even met. Today, they are new friends just ‘there’ to support each other.
This is one of the proudest parts of our organization Just In Power Kids … Connecting families with each other for additional support.
Big THANKS To These Guys for helping me pull this off
Morning Temperatures
Morning Surface Weather
About Those Storms
Compare Three Models… I have been showing you the HRRR and NAM 3 Km as staples for short range radar simulations. I am now adding in the WRF-FV3. I believe there have been some tweaks to this model, that show signs of progress. So I will be putting it on display and see if it holds our interest.
Radar Simulation Comparison
I wanted to show the consistency of placing storms around the beaches between 2 PM and 6 PM.
HRRR Model
Beach storms flare up between 3 PM and 6 PM.
WRF FV3 12 PM to Midnight
Beach storms flare up 2 PM to 6 PM.
NAM 3 Km 2 PM to 10 PM
Beach storms flare up 2 PM to 6 PM.
Afternoon Temperatures
CLIMATE DATA
TODAY August 27
Normal Low in Baltimore: 65ºF
Record 53ºF in 1885
Normal High in Baltimore: 85ºF
Record 102ºF 1948
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ALSO SEE:
Snowfall For Winters Following Very Quiet Tropical Seasons
Sunday Temperatures
Morning
Afternoon
Again into the lower 90s for urban areas.
Radar Simulation 12 PM to 8 PM
WRF Model On Display…
Shows a shift of storms across Delmarva and maybe a few into metro areas late.
7 Day Forecast
Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
Forecast From Colorado State University
Related Posts
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
Recent Storm Reports
May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map
Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media
Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
Twitter: @JustinWeather
Instagram: justinweather
Cancer Can Succit- THE SHIRT
By Popular Demand and Supporting Just In Power Kids
This is the shirt that Power Kid James and his family has embraced… They even surprised us with this sign during our Kids Trek Too event.
It is now available!
Connect With A Health Coach
From My Maryland Trek Team
Click the image or here for more info
*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
