Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 08/15/2022 12:50:03 pm
Temperature

76°

Mostly Cloudy

59°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

56%

Feels Like

76°

Wind (VRB)

6mph

Air Pressure

29.97

Sun
Sun Rise

06:20 AM

Sun Set

08:02 PM

Day Length

13:42 Hours

Difference

2 min 14 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

10:21 PM

Moon Set

10:16 AM

Next: Last Quarter

Aug 19,2022

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

66°

85°

Average High
Record Low

49°


(1964)

103°


(1988)
Record High
Current Conditions

June 27 Showers And Storms This Morning Tracks To the Beaches By Evening

climate data
Severe Weather
Forecast

June 27 2022

Monday Morning Update 

Today is our day with the cold front. This looks like a slow mover, which means we have the entire day to watch it cross the state.  Some showers already developed before sunrise, which fits the forecast from my prior report. Now we need to extrapolate further to plan for the day.

Going forward we still have the same concern about the short range modeling short changing us.  I have the simulation below, which suggests some thunderstorms erupting around Baltimore and I-95 around noon.  Showers may linger into the afternoon for metro areas.

Like yesterday, I expect we will have more activity sooner, and it will be more widespread all day.

We will watch this track across southern Maryland to the beaches this evening. 

A few chilly mornings ahead will be contrasted with the heat that builds in by the end of the work week.

 

Morning Surface Weather

This is our cold front which should take all day to reach the coast.  Behind it a much cooler air mass we will feel for sure tomorrow morning. 

I wanted to start with the live radar  so you can track the pop up showers and storms. I do not have high confidence in the short range modeling.  But those simulations below do suggest the timeline and location of the activity pushing towards the coast. 

 



 

Live Radar and Lightning

 

 

Radar Simulation

7 AM to 8 PM

The HRRR Model is our best product, however is is already missing the showers we have seen at sunrise in metro Baltimore.

So, as I mentioned yesterday, I would again suggest we will see more activity than shown here. That means more of us will get in on the rain, and thunderstorms may erupt sooner in metro areas (between 10 AM and Noon).

June-27-weather-storm-rain-radar-simulation

 

Slider —-> 12 PM to 8 PM

  • The line of storms should get very active around noon and beyond…
  • The line will move to the Southeast, while the individual cells will be moving to the Northeast.
  • This will cross Delmarva and reach the beaches by evening.
  • Metro areas have may lingering rain showers with cooler temps for a few extra hours.

 

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NOAA Severe Storm Outlook

The risk for storms is moderate to high, especially across central to Southern Maryland and The Beaches.

The chance any cell turns severe is Marginal for damaging winds and large hail.

 

Mid Day Temperatures 

 

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY June 27th

Normal Low in Baltimore:  65ºF

Record 50ºF in 1979

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 86ºF

Record 100ºF 2010

 



Tuesday

Temperatures will be cooler

Morning

Afternoon

 

 

Most Of This Week Will Be Great For Paddling

 

TEACHER SPECIAL Click Here

$20 Off 2 hour Rental

Book Your Kayak or Paddle Boat Adventure On The North Chesapeake Bay

 

 

7 Day Forecast

A cooler start to the week, then turning hot by Thursday and Friday 

 

 

 

Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30

NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again

 

 

Forecast From Colorado State University

Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

 

Related Posts

 

NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms

 

 

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

 

 

Recent Storm Reports

May 22 Hail And Wind Damage

May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map

 

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather

 

 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.