June 27 2022
Monday Afternoon Update
So far it looks like today’s forecast is behaving as expected. The recent development of thunderstorms with a cold front crossing central Maryland is pretty close to the simulation from this morning.
If anything, perhaps that cluster crossing Baltimore and Harford Counties was a little stronger, meaning that is on the way to Cecil County and Northern Delmarva. Perhaps we can extrapolate this for the rest of the day.
If you are at the beaches, you can anticipate a line of strong storms to arrive between 3 and 6 PM.
This update takes a look at the morning storm line, compares to the NAM 3 Km, which is the best performer, and a look at the simulation for the rest of today.
Doppler Radar Recap: 10 AM to 12 PM
12 PM Snapshot
Compare this to the first image in the slider below. The live radar with lighting is below as well.
A line of heavy rain with some lighting and thunder has been crossing Baltimore and Towson. This is heading to Bel Air and Elkton.
NAM 3 Km Model Forecast —-> slider
12 PM to 8 PM
This forecast image compared to the snapshot above matched up pretty well. This suggest a good initialization and handling for the rest of the day.
Radar Simulation- Animation
12 PM to Midnight
Live Radar and Lightning
NOAA Severe Storm Outlook
TODAY June 27th
Normal Low in Baltimore: 65ºF
Record 50ºF in 1979
Normal High in Baltimore: 86ºF
Record 100ºF 2010
Temperatures will be cooler
Most Of This Week Will Be Great For Paddling
Book Your Kayak or Paddle Boat Adventure On The North Chesapeake Bay
7 Day Forecast
A cooler start to the week, then turning hot by Thursday and Friday
Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30
Forecast From Colorado State University
Recent Storm Reports
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.