Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 08/15/2022 12:20:04 pm
Temperature

76°

Mostly Cloudy

59°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

56%

Feels Like

76°

Wind (VRB)

6mph

Air Pressure

29.97

Sun
Sun Rise

06:20 AM

Sun Set

08:02 PM

Day Length

13:42 Hours

Difference

2 min 14 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

10:21 PM

Moon Set

10:16 AM

Next: Last Quarter

Aug 19,2022

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

66°

85°

Average High
Record Low

49°


(1964)

103°


(1988)
Record High
Current Conditions

June 16 Morning Storms Then Edge Of Heat And Severe Storm Risk Later

NOAA
climate data
Severe Weather
Forecast

June 16 2022

Thursday Morning Update 

The morning round of storms are still with us through noon.  The latest information I see on the high resolution guidance brings in the high heat to our western counties. This will not only make it very sticky and uncomfortable for some, but add to the fuel for severe weather later. 

Father’s Day Weekend is still looking pleasant.

 

Morning Surface Weather

We still have storms to track this morning.

Round 2 with Severe Potential: Expected This Evening and Tonight 

 

NOAA Severe Storm Risk

We will track a line of storms from the Great Lakes into Central Pennsylvania. The timing and how hot we get will determine how far south into Maryland these storms may reach tonight. 

Any severe storm can produce: Large Hail, Damaging Wind, Isolated Tornado, and Flash Flooding

Alert Reminder:

A Watch may be issued for the region. This is for ‘potential’ over about a 6 hour period.

A Warning will be issued when there is a storm occurring to track. This will include towns in the path.

 



 

Doppler Radar Loop:

2:30 AM to 6 AM

Here we can see the development of storms ‘close’ to the forecast simulation I showed last night. It wasn’t perfect, but pretty close. 

 

 

 

Morning Simulation (Through 2 PM)

A few more storms this morning…

June-16-weather-radar-storm-forecast-morning

 

Afternoon Temperatures 

The fringe of that Heat Dome will try to reach western Maryland and northern Virginia.  The suggestion for 100ºF is an abrupt uptick. It’s one we need to consider seriously as it would introduce a higher chance for severe storms later.

Cooler air will hold over Delmarva… But metro areas in between will feel sticky.

 

Heat Index

It will feel stick around Baltimore- to the west and north. 

 

Round 2 Storms

4 PM to 11 PM

This is why I believe the Severe Risk will be expanded to more of central Maryland…

 

June-16-weather-storm-thursday-afternoon

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY June 16th

Normal Low in Baltimore:  62ºF

Record 50ºF in 1961

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 83ºF

Record 99ºF 1991

 



 

Friday Temperatures 

Morning

 

Afternoon

Hot, but less humid.

 

Looking Ahead: Jet Stream Animation 

That pocket of cooler air this weekend will likely help morning sun build afternoon clouds… We should remain dry into the middle of next week. 

 

June-16-weather-jet-stream-fathers-day-weekend

 

 

 

 

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7 Day Forecast

With the cooler air this weekend, we may have a mix of afternoon clouds, but it will be pleasant. Next week we get back to warmer temps.  Overall, a break from the rain for a while .

 

 

 

 



 

Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30

NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again

 

 

Forecast From Colorado State University

Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

 

Related Posts

 

NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms

 

 

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

 

 

Recent Storm Reports

May 22 Hail And Wind Damage

May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map

 

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather

 

 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.