Sunday March 27 Near Record Cold With Polar Vortex TrackTo So New England

Sunday March 27

Morning Report

It definitely feels like winter and is about to get even colder! We had quite a day yesterday in the transition. I am still going through the pics and videos of the snow showers. I have some here, even the 10 inches of snow on the ground in Western Maryland this mornin.g.

The cold winds continue and we still have the core of cold air on the way tomorrow. Then we may have a mid week wintry mix followed by one warm day with thunderstorms. 

Saturday Highlights

Grauple (gr-AW-pple)- The type of snow that fell often described as dipping’ dots.  Flakes partially melt as the tips curl in, then re-freezes on the way down.  Many had temperatures in the mid to upper 40s!  Yes, I had one reading as high as 48ºF while it was falling. 

Here’s a look at a few video clips shared via Twitter:

This shows it well

@JustinWeather From Middletown, MD about 2:30 — What do you call precipitation that’s not quite snow, but not quite sleet, but not quite hail, but not quite rain? pic.twitter.com/bGbfS7uWDX

— David Frederick (@Dave3471) March 26, 2022

This close up shows the grauple texture 

@JustinWeather From Middletown, MD about 2:30 — What do you call precipitation that’s not quite snow, but not quite sleet, but not quite hail, but not quite rain? pic.twitter.com/bGbfS7uWDX

— David Frederick (@Dave3471) March 26, 2022

Western Maryland Snow

My friend Kristin Skeweris texted me this:

10” of snow ‘on the ground’ at Deep Creek Lake!

She said likely OVER A FOOT total but a lot compacted user heavy weight. Now it is fluffy. That is a signal of the colder air moving it. 

A shame Wisp just closed for the season…

If you are traveling through on I-68, it will be difficult at times again today.

Monday Morning Set Up

Surface Weather

Temperatures 

Wind Chill

Polar Vortex Disruption 

Here we can see the transition of the Polar Vortex into Southern New England. If this was mid winter, we would have an epic arctic outbreak. Now in late March, it is modified a bit, but will still be undeniable.  There will be a warm up Wednesday into Thursday. This may start with ice and end with thunderstorms.

SNAPSHOTS

Sunday Morning

It did not arrive yet, but that core circulation in central Canada is what will be diving into the US.

Monday Afternoon 

This core circulation has been plotted to track into southern New England, farther south and colder!

Animation Sunday Through Wednesday 

More Snow Showers Today

Radar Simulation 8 AM to 6 PM

The instability will ignite a few more passing flurries or snow showers similar to yesterday. 

Afternoon Temperatures 

CLIMATE DATA

TODAY March 27

Seasonal Snow: 14.4”

Normal Low in Baltimore:  37ºF

Record 20º F in  2014

Normal High in Baltimore: 58ºF

Record 86ºF 1921

Monday Temperatures 

Morning 

Record for Baltimore = 21ºF in 1982

Afternoon

Tuesday Morning…

Record for Baltimore = 18ºF in 1923

Looking Ahead

Mid Week Ice?

Still watching the transition to warmer air that may bring in a snow/sleeet mix on Wednesday morning. I doubt there will be much of a problem, but we may need to watch inland areas that tend to be colder given the timing of the day. 

Wednesday Morning Snapshot

Forecast Animation Wednesday Morning To Friday Morning

7 Day Forecast

Transition from COLD to some icy mix, then the WARM DAY brings a chance for thunderstorms. Colder air next weekend, but not as cold as what we currently have.

ALSO SEE

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

ALL FITF GEAR

FITF THUNDERSNOW

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Winter Folklore Checklist

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.

#FITF