Snow Analysis From Friday November 22 Storm
Snow Summary As Of Saturday, November 23, 2024 The early winter storm that hit the Mid-Atlantic yesterday, Friday, November 22, lived up to expectations. While many doubted we would get…
Saturday March 19 Breezy Warm And Risk For Some Of A Severe Storm
Polar Vortex
Maryland Weather
Severe Weather
Forecast
Saturday March 19
Morning Report
The morning has started warm, and the breeze today will help to pump temps up into the 70s. If you have outdoor plans, just be on the lookout for scattered showers. The chance for severe storms continues increased for the northern half of our region later today.
Next week brings rain mid week, the the influence of that Polar Vortex Disruption into next weekend. The first part of that shows up at the end of our 7-day outlook.
Morning Set Up
Surface Weather
Temperatures
A warm start by March standards with most in the 50s.
Severe Storm Risk
There will be a line of storms developing late in the afternoon and evening. NOAA has plotted the Slight Risk (greater chance) for severe storms in northeastern Maryland and Southern Pennsylvania. But it is still worth watching Central Maryland for potential later today. See the timeline slider below.
Radar Simulation —> slider
The main risk of storms in metro areas will be 5 PM to 8 PM
Afternoon Temperatures
The breeze will be increasing. I know I showed cooler weather for Baltimore a few days ago. It looks like the direction will allow the warm air into BWI and the city. The cooler temps will remain along the Bay.
CLMATE DATA
TODAY March 19
Seasonal Snow: 14.4”
Normal Low in Baltimore: 34ºF
Record 12º F in 1876
Normal High in Baltimore: 55ºF
Record 78ºF 1918
Sunday Morning
Snow Showers In The Mountains
Temperatures
Jumping Ahead To Mid Week
Radar Simulation
5 PM Tuesday to 5 PM Friday
The next storm will track north of us, but bring rain on Wednesday, perhaps another Thunderstorm. Thursday, some early showers then windy and warm before the next round of cold air arrive.
Polar Vortex Disruption
The core of that cold air will reach us next weekend.
Considering it is late March, the ‘cold air’ will be relative… This may bring in some snow showers, but let’s save that until we get closer.
7 Day Forecast
Note: Winds bring in cooler air Sunday, then the rainy day will come with cooler air on Wednesday….
The first signal of that colder air will first show up on Friday, then getting colder next weekend.
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ALSO SEE
What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow
ALL FITF GEAR
FITF THUNDERSNOW
Winter Outlook Series:
Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts
Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources
Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow
Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA
NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print
Signals For Early Start To Winter In November
Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip
Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern
Winter Folklore Checklist
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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
Twitter: @JustinWeather
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
#FITF
