August 30 Storms May Turn Severe Today: Timeline And Radar
August 30 2022
Tuesday Morning Update
The end of our heat wave will come today. The last 5 days and 14 this month have reached into the 90s at Baltimore’s BWI. We will add another today. A cold front will bump into this air mass, which will ignite strong storms by evening with the marginal risk to turn severe.
In this post we have two short range model timelines to compare plus the live radar and lighting widget.
Morning Surface Weather
A warm and muggy start, then the cold front will arrive late in the afternoon through this evening. The perfect timing for maximum impact of thunderstorms potential.
NOAA Severe Storm Outlook
The severe storm risk is MARGINAL. This means there may not be a ‘Watch’ issued for the region, but some individual cells may reach severe limits and prompt a warning.
These cells may lead to damaging winds and large hail.
Morning Temperatures
Still muggy this morning.
Afternoon Temperatures:
Can you Spot The Cold Front?
Temperature Animation
10 AM to 10 PM
Radar Simulations:
NAM 3 Km
Snapshot: The metro timing should be between 5 PM and 8 PM
Animation:
HRRR Model
Snapshot: The metro timing should be between 5 PM and 8 PM
Animation:
Live Radar And Lightning Widget
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CLIMATE DATA
TODAY August 30
Normal Low in Baltimore: 64ºF
Record 45ºF in 1986
Normal High in Baltimore: 85ºF
Record 101ºF 1953
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Wednesday Temperatures
A little cooler and a lot less humid. It will feel wonderful!
Morning
Still warm around the city and Bay, but notice the cooler 50s well inland in the western mountains.
Afternoon
Noticeably cooler and less humid.
7 Day Forecast
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.