June 22 2022
Wednesday Update
The complex squeeze play I discussed last night will be playing out this afternoon. The net result will be rain, some strong or severe storms, but NOT the same for everyone in our region.
There are two locations to focus on:
Inland where it gets hotter, there will be multiple bands of storms that may roll over the same areas. A few cells may turn severe.
By the Beach/Delmarva a cooler air mass with steady rain and some boomers moves in along the coast.
In between is the metro area that will be in the squeeze that should eventually bubble up with rain and storms into tonight.
It is heating up inland where there is more sun. This is the fuel for severe weather later.
Temps should remain in the 70s, and may drop into the 60s by the beaches with rain there mid afternoon.
The map is not that active this morning, but it will get there during the day. We have an air flow aloft from the North and a contrast of air masses with heat building to the west to fuel storms this afternoon.
This helps show the flow of clouds, which when then pop storms.., have the potential to roll multiple cells over some areas.
If you are at the beach and have seen the sun, expect that to fade away into the afternoon. That large conveyor belt of clouds will be shifting back west to the coastline.
The National Weather Service expanded this to include counties west of Baltimore where those multiple heavy cells are more likely.
The highest risk for severe weather will be where the heat builds.
Storms may contain large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes.
Watch: Means it MIGHT HAPPEN. This will often extend for up to 6 hours.
Warning: Means it IS HAPPENING NOW! This is a shorter time frame and will list towns included.
The peak active of heavy storms to the west, rain on Delmarva and the beaches… with metro areas including I-83 and I-97 in the lull between. Isolated showers can pop up anytime here… However the bubbling up from the convergence of the other bands will be at night.
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map
*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
