Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 12/20/2024 11:10:03 pm
Temperature

33°

Mostly Cloudy

31°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

92%

Feels Like

27°

Wind (WNW)

6mph

Air Pressure

29.96

Sun
Sun Rise

07:22 AM

Sun Set

04:46 PM

Day Length

09:24 Hours

Difference

0 min 4 sec loss

Moon
Moon Rise

10:24 PM

Moon Set

11:16 AM

Next: Last Quarter

Dec 22,2024

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

27°

44°

Average High
Record Low


(1942)

67°


(1877)
Record High
Conditions

Winter Storm Warning Expanded To Baltimore And All Of Central Maryland

snow forecast
Maryland Weather
National Weather Service
Winter Weather
Warnings

Friday Afternoon, February 16

The expectation for colder temperatures to maximize snow accumulation is now being validated by The National Weather Service. The Winter Storm Warning now includes all of Central Maryland, including Baltimore. This is for the expectation of 4 to 6 inches of snowfall overnight.

Snowfall rates will be 1 to 2 inches per hour overnight as temperatures drop below freezing.

A Winter Storm Warning remains in place for Frederick County, Maryland, and westward for the highest totals to likely exceed 6 inches.

Here is the summary, then, compare My Call For Snowfall to the NWS Maps. Below are the model maps as well.

Note: Snow may fall at the rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour. Colder temperatures in the higher elevations will allow for a ‘dry flake’ and fluff up the totals higher.

UPDATED SATURDAY MORNING

Click here for the Preliminary Storm Reports: This FELL SHORT

It was FASTER and LES POTENT.

February 17 snow reports preliminary

Winter Weather Alerts

Winter Storm Warning: 11 PM to 5 AM Sat

Central Maryland (new)

Snowfall 4 to 6 inches with some higher spots.

 

Frederick County Maryland

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. The highest totals are most likely under heavier snow bands and for elevations above 1000 feet where isolated total to 8 inches are possible.

Washington to Garrett County, MD: 4 to 8 inches of snow.

National Weather Service Snowfall Maps

Maryland (Conservative) Expectations

Snow Forecast Maryland NWS February 16

 

Maryland HIGH END/WORST CASE

Snow Forecast National Weather Service Maryland High End

Central Pennsylvania

Snow Forecast February 16 Pennsylvania

 

Metro Philadelphia and Delaware

Snow Forecast Philadelphia and Delaware

 

Virginia

February 16 snow forecast Virginia NWS

 

My Call For Snowfall

February 16 weather my call for snowfall Saturday

 

Storm Forecast:

ECMWF Model 7 PM Fri to 7 PM Saturday

February 16 weather snow storm forecast ECMWF

Snapshot Overnight

The heaviest snow will fall between 2 AM and 6 AM. Snowfall rates may be 1 to 2 inches per hour in some cells and bands.

See the local maps below.

February 16 weather snow storm forecast ECMWF Saturday am 4

 

Local Forecast Maps

SATURDAY SNOW

Temperatures will be dropping, with the freezing line expected to reach near Annapolis. This will allow for more stickage and accumulation in those areas south of I-95.

Radar Simulation: NAM 3 Km Midnight to Noon

February 16 weather forecast snow radar Saturday

Snapshots

Midnight

February 16 weather forecast snow radar Saturday am 12

 

Temperatures

February 16 weather forecast temperatures Saturday am 12

 

7 AM

Snow will exit the coast, but the upper-level energy may keep snow showers and flurries inland for a few extra hours.

February 16 weather forecast snow radar Saturday am 7

 

Temperatures

February 16 weather forecast temperatures Saturday am 7

 

11 AM

Snow should be coming to an end.

February 16 weather forecast snow radar Saturday am 11

Afternoon Temperatures

The daylight will help with melting on the roads.. but as it stays near freezing inland, expect icy spots in the shade and a quick refreeze in the evening.

February 16 weather forecast temperatures Saturday afternoon

 

Potential Snowfall Maps

 

Computer Models

NAM 3 Km

February 16 weather forecast snow Saturday NAM

European Model

February 16 weather forecast snow Saturday ECMWF

 

GFS Model

February 16 weather forecast snow Saturday GFS

 

7 Day Outlook

The main event will be Saturday Morning, then quiet as we head into next week.

February 16 weather forecast 7 day Friday

 

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Explore More

Maryland Snow Climate History And Other Winter Pages

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

 

RECENT Winter Outlook Reports:

My Winter Outlook: More Snow

Snow Outlook Winter 2024

Faith in the Flakes Gear

 

El Niño Winter Updates

Late November: Warm Water Shifts West In Pacific Could Mean More Snow For Eastern US

El Nino Sea Surface Temperatures November 22

Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track

Winter Precipitation El Nino CFSv2 Model

 

El Niño Advisory

The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.

El Nino November 2023 

 

Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.

 

NOAA’s Winter Outlook 2024

Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow

 

Please share your thoughts and best weather pics/videos, or just keep in touch via social media

 

RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF