Winter Storm Warning Expanded To Coast With Blizzard And Ice Storm In The Path
Sunday, January 5 2025 The long-anticipated storm is now in the central US and on a track nearly due East. Along the path today, there is a Blizzard Warning for…
January 14 Another Wind Advisory With Arctic Front And Time To Talk Snow
Maryland Weather
climate data
Winter Weather
wind
Forecast
Warnings
January 14, 2024
Sunday Morning Update
Today will make the third day in a row with a Wind Advisory in our region. This time, it is connected to a strong arctic front that will usher in a very cold air mass. As it arrives late morning, there may be a brief line of snow showers, followed by winds between 30 and 50 mph from the West.
Snow will be a travel issue in the mountains of Western Maryland… but we will get our turn soon. The next storm is back to the original expectations with a wide spread of light accumulation. This is set to arrive Monday night into Tuesday. Then possibly another event to end the work week. So yes, it is time to talk about snow. FITF
UPDATE at 10:10 AM
This Snow Squall has held together more than the short range modeling suggested.
A brief coating to 1/2″ may lay on the ground across central Maryland and Southern PA as this passes through the next 2 hours.
Radar Simulation: 8 AM to 2 PM
Please note that this product can miss some snow showers. I believe there may be more than shown here… But they will be brief.
Live Radar Widget
This will NOT show winter mode, but will display light precipitation.
Wind Advisory Sunday
Wind Forecast: 8 AM to 6 PM
Strong winds will average 20 to 30 mph. Peak gusts may reach 50 mph.
Current Set Up
Morning Temperatures
The true arctic air is just west of our view.
Morning Surface Weather
The arctic front is entering western Maryland and will cross central areas late morning.
This will bring a brief band of snow showers and strong winds.
The core of this cold has temperatures WELL BELOW ZERO across the Central and Northern plains.
Jet Stream: Vorticity
The bulk of the energy will be passing just north of Baltimore. This is not optimal for the snow crossing the mountains with full force. So we may watch a line break up into pieces and then fade the farther east it moves.
Afternoon Temperatures
The numbers may actually drop during the day as the new air mass arrives.
Wind Chill
It will feel at least 10 degrees colder with the strong wind!
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY January 14
Sunrise at 7:25 AM
Sunset at 5:06 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record -2ºF in 1912
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 79ºF 1932
Monday Weather MLK Day
The arctic air will settle in, and we will feel it!
Morning Temperatures
Afternoon Temperatures
Snow Next Week?
If you have been reading my reports, then the brief loss of this event has come back into play as expected. The timing of the energy for this to develop appears to line up late Monday into Tuesday. It appears to be a widespread light snow event with an average of 1 to 3 inches across the region.
The timing does lean towards an impact on the Tuesday morning commute and possibly schools.
Animation from the GFS Model
Monday Afternoon to Tuesday Evening
Tuesday Morning
GFS Snapshot
Tuesday Afternoon
ECMWF Snapshot
This timing is a little later, with the impact in the middle of the day.
Suggested Snow Totals
Comparing the two models shows a similar spread of 1 to 3 inches, with some variation.
I often hedge my bets LOWER than these products.
GFS Model Snow Potential
ECMWF Model Snow Potential
End Of Week Snow?
Thursday Evening to Saturday Morning: GFS Model
I am simply showing this for posterity. I would like to see how the Tuesday event develops to establish the Jet Stream and storm track.
7 Day Forecast
With the arctic air, many days will remain below freezing. This will allow ice to form on the Northern Chesapeake Bay and Reservoirs.
Tuesday: Light Snow may accumulate 1 to 3 inches.
Friday: I am keeping this chance for another snow event.
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RECENT Winter Outlook Reports:
My Winter Outlook: More Snow
El Niño Winter Updates
Late November: Warm Water Shifts West In Pacific Could Mean More Snow For Eastern US
Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
Explore More
Maryland Snow Climate History And Other Winter Pages
Faith in the Flakes Gear
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.
#FITF
