Wednesday, January 10 2024
The latest NOAA outlook valid for next week shows the high likelihood of very cold temperatures. This can be attributed to the Polar Vortex split and or stretching out. That will finally allow for an arctic blast and shift to the true winter weather pattern we’ve been waiting for.
If you have Faith in the Flakes, this is promising for the middle and end of the month. I will not get too technical about snow details, but the atmosphere is setting up for a good chance early next week. See below.
Well below average temperatures centered in the Midwest, will include the East Coast as well.
This will be a large storm and major snowmaker for the Northern US. It looks like a repeat of what we just had, but it might be less extreme for us.
Another band of moderate to heavy rain, along with gusty winds from the South.
This is looking like a 1-inch or higher event inland. This is subject to change as the storm specifics come into focus.
This was the storm’s impact yesterday. An average of 2 to over 4 inches of rain fell over central Maryland. Over 5 inches fell over parts of Delaware.
The ground is soggy, and water levels are high, so it will not take much to lead to more flooding.
Following this storm, a few impulses of colder air will be pushing into the Eastern US.
This currently does not look very well organized, but the upper-level Jet Stream may help enhance the snowfall.
This shows Monday night into Tuesday
I will NOT suggest how much snow, but this does look like it may bring accumulation and may put an end to the Baltimore snow drought.
This has it as more of a Tuesday event.
This is the European Model Temperature Outlook for Baltimore at BWI next week. It will be colder inland, away from the cities and the Bay.
If you want winter after this long absence, there is substantial reason to have hope heading into the rest of this month.
FITF
Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
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I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.
#FITF
