January 12, 2023
Thursday Morning Report
We have a warm storm on the way. The active weather pattern continues, with the storm track to our west. That will pump in southerly winds for us, which will not only bring temps to the 50s later today and tonight, but also the chance for thunderstorms.
The back side will be colder, producing snow for the ski areas before the weekend. So if you are heading to Wisp, Seven Springs, or Snowshoe they all will be looking good.
The return of winter is just over the horizon, and the signals are there for the rest of us before the end of the month.
Warmer, so if you had showers or still run into drizzle, the ground is just wet.
Low Pressure entering The Ohio Valley is our weather event. A warm front moving through this morning is the reason we have had drizzle and light showers. The warming winds will continue all day and tonight.
The first round of rain will reach the mountains and pass into southern PA, and showers will develop ahead of it. The bulk of rain and thunderstorms will be tonight.
A line of heavy rain may have some thunder. This will be mainly in the mountains, with scattered showers across the rest of the region.
Thermometers will continue to warm through tonight.
The models have had some disagreement about this, but a line of rain with some thunder may first arrive this evening. I would allow for a window between 6 PM and 10 PM.
The mid to upper 50s will stream up along the Chesapeake and Coast, while colder air begins to show up in the mountains.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record 1ºF in 1981
SNOW: 6.0” 1996
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 70ºF 2020
Rain Ending Early, Snow in the Mountains
Low Pressure passes through Maryland with the final impulse of rain. Snow will be falling in the mountains. That colder air will flow in on strong winds during the afternoon and into Saturday.
Depending on that line of storms, some areas may get between 1/2 inch and 1 inch of rain.
The big ski areas should get in the 3 to 6 inch range, setting up for a good holiday weekend. Note, travel west of I-81 and on I-68 may be compromised.
Turning cooler.
Feeling like winter again.
This storm is a dud for us, but it may generate a new Low off the coast to bring Boston and Cape Cod a moderate snowfall.
Still no winter in sight. After a brief cool down, mild next week ahead of the next event.
December 5th Snow In Baltimore And The Start Of Faith In The Flakes FITF
Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school
I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.
Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption
Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook
Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs
Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs
If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).
Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following
Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow
