Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 03/20/2023 06:20:03 am




Dew Point
Relative Humidity


Feels Like


Wind (SW)


Air Pressure


Sun Rise

07:09 AM

Sun Set

07:18 PM

Day Length

12:09 Hours


2 min 35 sec gain

Moon Rise

06:53 AM

Moon Set

06:14 PM

Next: New Moon

Mar 21,2023

Moon Phase

Waning Crescent

Average Low



Average High
Record Low




Record High

November 27 Stormy Sunday Timeline Then Next Weather Event Mid Week

Maryland Weather
climate data
rain timeline

Sunday November 27

Morning Update 

Today is our rain day as advertised and it may impact your travel plans, as this spreads in during the morning. Low Pressure redeveloping along a cold front will enhance the downpours and may include some rumbles of thunder early this afternoon. Along with that, temps may boost up into the evening. After the rain abruptly ends, strong winds will pick up Monday and temps drop back down.

Active Storm Pattern

GFS: Sunday Morning to Wednesday Night

The main theme in the short term is that we are in a pattern with a storm every 3 days, but remain on the warmer rainy side (for now), while the mountains get rain, ending with a few inches of fresh snow each time.

November 27 weather stormy weather


Today’s Weather

Morning Temperatures


Morning Surface Weather

What we have this morning is an Occluded Low. A typical Low Pressure has a warm and cold side.  This occlusion is when the cold air wraps completely around the core circulation. This cuts off the warm air, and in this case… shifts the energy to the southeast, in a location known as the Triple Point.  This is where the old cold front, now occluded (purple), meets up with the cold front remains (blue) and new warm front (red). This is where a new Low Pressure is likely to form.

That Triple Point and new circulation will ride over Maryland in the middle of today. This is why we expect heavier rain and some thunder as it passes by.


Live Radar Widget

Rain showers earlier will be spotty. Steady rain will expand from west to east through the morning.

Radar Simulation

HRRR Model: Sunday 7 AM to 7 PM

I have noticed that this product is once again about 1 to 2 hours slower than verified.

November 27 weather radar storm forecast

Key Timeframes


The 10 AM forecast time may verify as early as 8 AM.

Rain should overspread most of our region by 9 or 10 AM. Heavy rain will expand over the mountains and head east for the afternoon.



This 1 PM time frame may actually be 11 AM or noon. This may be an issue for church travel, heading out to watch the game, or shopping.

Please consider that heavier bands of rain may include thunder, and will cross metro areas in the middle of the day, before and after 12 PM.


Temperatures Afternoon

The warmest temps of the day in metro areas and Delmarva will reach the 60s early this evening.


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My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!

I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.

Winter Outlook 2023 For Snow Not Typical La Niña Plus Polar Vortex Disruption


TODAY November 27

Normal Low in Baltimore:  33ºF

Record 18ºF in 1991

SNOW: 3.5 inches in 1978

Normal High in Baltimore: 52ºF

Record 74ºF 1896


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Stronger winds will be battling the clearing, so temps will remain steady early then fall during the afternoon. 

Morning Temperatures 

Mid Day Wind Forecast

Winds will average 15 to 25 mph, holding temps in check all day.


Afternoon Temperatures

Temps are likely to drop during the afternoon.


Next Event: Wednesday 

This will be another warmer rain, followed by colder air.  There is a small chance for this to end with some mixed snowflakes, but we are not in winter mode.. yet. 

November 27 weather rain Wednesday


Please check back tonight, I will have a report on the outlook into the first half of December. 


7 Day Forecast


Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook


Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

Winter Outlook 2023 La Niña Triple Dip Expectations



If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season. (You might be seeing a lot of commercial snow removal people out this Winter).

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following


Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar


Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore


Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow


Faith in the Flakes Gear


SNOWSTIX – Available Now


Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History


STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school


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