Thursday Late Morning Update
A cold front is arriving today with a band of showers and possibly even a rumble of thunder. This report will track the model guidance, error, and live radar to help you plan accordingly. It will be followed by gusty winds and a push of colder air just in time for the Fall Equinox tonight. It will truly feel like autumn tomorrow.
The computer models continue to be a little slow and are underrepresenting the rain. We have discussed this for months, and I suggested it again this morning. Check this out.
10 AM Snapshots
The chill is already in western Maryland. Notice the warm spot of 81ºF in central Maryland. That is at BWI which continues to be one of the warmest locations in the metro area. We all get a cool down after the rain passes.
This shows a solid line of rain entering central Maryland just west of Washington and Baltimore, and extending up to York PA. This is arriving faster than the forecast maps you can compare below.
10 AM (short term) Forecast NAM 3 Km
This is actually the better performing high-resolution model plot, but still slow.
See the simulation slider below the live radar.
Live Radar WIDGET
Radar Simulation —-> slider
I wanted to jump ahead to start at the 12 PM plot, which may better represent what we see on radar at 11 AM
Change On The Way
Wind Forecast Noon Thursday to 4 PM Friday
The wind shift from the Northwest will be gusty through Friday. This is what will usher in the New Air Mass and make it feel chilly.
Temperature Forecast Noon Thursday to 7 AM Friday
Autumnal Equinox at 9:03 PM- EXPLORE MORE
LOOKING FOR MORE GOLFERS
Come and join us! My 12-year-old son and I are playing. He is REALLY GOOD and you can see for yourself!
Click the image below to Register! It’s a great way to spend the day and we can meet in person!
Thank you to JP’s Custom Home Painting AND The County Cork Wine Pub for dedicating this golf tournament to our nonprofit Just In Power Kids.
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