Tropical Storm Earl Forms: Track Expected North Of Puerto Rico

September 3 2022

After one of the longest gaps and the entire month of August with no named storms, the tropical Atlantic has picked up activity with a second storm this week.  Tropical Storm Danielle already formed and is flirting with hurricane intensity. Now we add Tropical Storm to the mix, with a little more impact on land.

Since Danielle is in the open water of the North Atlantic, the focus will be on Earl in this report.

Tropical Storm Earl

IR Satellite Close Up

National Hurricane Center

Saturday Morning Update

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————-

LOCATION…18.7N 61.4W

ABOUT 115 MI…190 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

Forecast Intensity

This is likely to remain a Tropical Storm for a few days, but beyond Day 4 and 5 this may intensify to a hurricane. By that point this will be well north of the islands in the open central Atlantic. 

TS Earl Forecast Tracks

Close View

This is expected to pass NORTH of Puerto Rico, but waves will be felt on the north side including the Virgin Islands as well.

Wider View

Besides the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, this is no threat to the mainland US.

Forecast Wind and Radar Widget

Centered on San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Use controls to toggle and with locations

Atlantic View

REMINDER

Comparing Record Years:

Augusts With No Named Tropical Storms

• 1961
• 1997
• 2022

The other two years BOTH had a named storms within the first few days of September. 

Both of them reached Major Hurricane Intensity (Category 3 or higher)

1961- Tropical Season

Prior To August:  This year started very quiet and only had 1 named storm (Anna). 

From September on: 

September 2 was the next name and it got busy in a hurry! The second named storm was Betsy – This reached Category 4, but remained in the open ocean not making landfall. 

1997- Tropical Season

Prior to August: This was a busier year with 4 Named Storms, one subtropical storm and one tropical depression. 

From September on:

September 3 was another quick return when Erika was named. This also became a Major Hurricane, reaching Category 3.

EXPLORE MORE

See how the rest of the season compared to the following winter snowfall. There was a distinct difference 

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

ALSO SEE

September Begins Meteorological Autumn

Climate Data/Weather Stats For The Month

Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30

NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again

Forecast From Colorado State University

Atlantic Hurricane Forecast

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