August 15 2022
Monday Morning Update
The pattern has changed and our nearly perfect weather from the weekend is gone. However, what we have in place is not well organized. There is a band of rain this morning. By this afternoon, the region will be split with a range of weather conditions I hope to explain for you below.
To our West: A Weak Disturbance. This has sent an impulse of rain across metro areas (Baltimore to York/Lancaster) this morning.
To our East: High Pressure off the coast will increase the wind from the east. This will be more noticeable at the beaches through this afternoon.
We see a range from the mid 50s in the mountains of western Maryland to near 70ºF across the southern Chesapeake Bay. Most of us are starting in the 60s.
The cluster of rain is mainly along and north of I-70. This means Howard County to Baltimore City and all points in Maryland north through southern PA.
It is a wet start to the day for York and Lancaster PA. This band of rain should last through 7 AM in Baltimore and 8 AM in many other areas to the north.
Gradual improvement from West to East.
Once again, this product is far from perfect, and we often get more activity than shown. I am posting this for the trend of more showers west and clearing to the east.
These temps show 70s or cooler with the clouds and showers west.
Notice that while we show 79ºF for Baltimore, there is a drop off to the lower 70s for Westminster to Frederick, with 60s on the other side of the mountains from Boonsboro to Hagerstown and McHenry.
In order to reach 80ºF near the Bay by Annapolis and Easton, will depend on whether the sun pops out.
Normal Low in Baltimore: 66ºF
Record 49ºF in 1964
Normal High in Baltimore: 87ºF
Record 103ºF 1988
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The push of 80ºF will be in metro areas, while 70s are more likely inland and across Delmarva.
Less cloud cover, but that easterly wind from the Atlantic should help to hold temps down.
Slowly moderating temperatures still remain near or below average through the end of the week. The next active weather system is expected at the end of the weekend.
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The team, support crew, and YOU!
Thank you! We have raised OVER $109,000 (so far). We still have more to add in, and will continue to accept donations into our final total until Sunday.
You may notice a video player at the top of this page. I put all of our individual daily recap reels in there, just in case you wanted to see them. One final recap will be ready shortly.
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
NOAA Study: Reducing Air Pollution INCREASED Tropical Storms
Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days
May 16 Large Hail Videos And Storm Tracking Map
*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
