November 27 Thanksgiving Storm Forecast Rain Then Winter Cold
November 27, 2024 Wednesday Morning Report The good news is that we have a quiet travel day AND Thanksgiving will end dry for most of us. On the down side,…
July 12 Hot Afternoon With Severe Storm Risk And Flood Watch
NOAA
climate data
Severe Weather
Forecast
Warnings
July 12 2022
Tuesday Morning Update
Today is the day we get a surge of heat followed by a cold front. The result will be an eruption of a line of storms that may turn severe. This brings the standard risk of damaging wind, large hail, and an isolated tornado.
Temps stay warm most of the week, with a break from the rain, until the weekend.
Morning Surface Weather
Severe Storm Risk
Flood Watch And Small Craft Advisory
Rainfall rates may reach 1 to 2 inches per hour.
Small Craft Advisory for winds ups to 20 knots on The Chesapeake Bay.
Afternoon Temperatures
Afternoon Heat Index
Radar Simulations
HRRR Model
This product shows an earlier line of storms crossing southern PA in the afternoon between 3 PM and 5 PM. This will be followed by the cluster around metro Baltimore from 6 PM then lingering around Rt 50 between Washington and Annapolis tonight.
NAM 3 Km Model
This is the produce I showed last night… It now shows the focus of storms for metro Baltimore/Central Maryland between 5 PM and8 PM. This agrees with the HRRR holding that line around Rt 50 between Washington and Annapolis and southward tonight- through midnight.
Simulation Timeline —> slider
4 PM to 1 AM
CLIMATE DATA
TODAY July 12th
Normal Low in Baltimore: 67ºF
Record 53ºF in 2002
Normal High in Baltimore: 89ºF
Record 97ºF 1908
Plan Your Kayaking Day Now
Storm Animation: Friday Morning To Sunday Night
The chance for rain on Friday will be scattered, but then increase over the weekend.
7 Day Forecast
Remaining seasonably warm all week, then increasing the rain risk and cooler temps this weekend.
Hurricane Season Forecast: June 1 Through November 30
NOAA 2022 Hurricane Forecast- Above Normal Again
Forecast From Colorado State University
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Recent Storm Reports
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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
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*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:
I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell. I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse.
All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline.
I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…
It’s part of my charm.
