Monday October 25

We get one more warm day surging in ahead of our next storm. This may help fuel a line of strong storms that may turn severe this afternoon and evening. 

The record high at BWI today is 77ºF, set in 1931. It is the only record below 80ºF and actually the coolest record for the entire month. This is likely to get beat today.

What to wear?

Light jacket this morning, T-shirt this afternoon, with rain coat or umbrella to carry after 4 PM.

Morning Surface Weather

The line of storms will race in by tonight, then we get in on much cooler air Tuesday. A coastal storm will develop and loop off the Northeast coast on Tuesday keeping us in the chilly and bringing back more rain.

Headlines Ahead:

• Monday: Warmer Then Evening Strong/Severe Storm
• Tuesday: Windy And Cooler
• Thursday: Rain Late
• Friday: Stormy

Severe Storm Risk

Whomever gets in on the severe weather may depend on the timing.  A cluster of thunderstorms will try to develop well ahead of the front this afternoon. That will include Virginia and Southern Maryland. 

Metro Baltimore to Southern PA likely to get into the storms later, when the energy should weaken a little. Storms likely, but will lose some intensity.

I will have an update on the timing of this line during the day.

Radar Simulation: 4 PM to 11 PM

An initial cluster of storms may race north along Delmarva lat afternoon.

The main storm line will pass through western MD and Virgina after 4 PM.

Metro areas will be watching for this between 8 PM and midnight.

Afternoon Temperatures 

These numbers will be close to seasonal averages for this date.

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY October 25

Normal Low in Baltimore:  43ºF

Record 28ºF in 1962

Normal High in Baltimore: 64ºF

Record 77º F 1931

*only record below 80ºF in October.

Also See:

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

Rain Animation

Monday morning to Wednesday morning

Snapshot Tuesday Afternoon

Watching a Nor’easter develop and loop around and retrograde. This will keep cool winds and throw some rain back later in the day.

Temperatures Tuesday

Morning

Afternoon

Looking Ahead: Friday

More rain moving in with the next storm.

7 Day Forecast

Most of the week after today will be back to cooler seasonal temps.

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