February 16 2024
Friday Morning Update
It seems like the Atmospheric Memory repeat has more in common with that dual snow week in January. The second snow event for us this week also appears to be ramping up to overachieve. This is in part due to a stronger system with the assist of colder air and the overnight hours to help maximize the potential for stickage and accumulation.
A Winter Weather Advisory was added to metro Baltimore into Southern Maryland. A Winter Storm Watch remains in place for the northern suburbs to the mountains and southern Pennsylvania. This is for the expectation of higher snow amounts.
Timing for the bulk of the event will be starting close to midnight from west to east. Expect heavy snow overnight with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour, then mostly ending close to 7 AM. Some showers may remain later into the morning.
Central areas expect 2 to 4 inches, with the potential to burst higher. More snow is possible in the colder suburbs to the west and north. Temperatures making a dry snow may help fluff up the totals. See the snow maps below.
Notes From NWS:
Winter Weather Advisory Region:
* WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with localized totals up to 5 inches possible.
Winter Storm Watch Region:
* WHAT…Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are likely with up to 6 inches possible.
Winter Storm Warning Region:
* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches.
It will turn colder tonight!
Strong winds this morning have prompted wind warnings on area bridges. Gusts up to 30 mph.
The expected snow is still one thousand miles away. This ‘Clipper’ is a fast-moving storm that will reach us tonight and depart tomorrow morning. It will rapidly strengthen on the upper-level winds and peak as it passes our region overnight. This burst of snow now appears it may overachieve, which is why snow totals have increased, and I am leaving the top end open for more.
The heaviest snow will fall between 2 AM and 6 AM. Snowfall rates maybe 1 to 2 inches per hour in cells and bands.
See the local maps below.
Sunrise at 6:58 AM
Sunset at 5:44 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 27ºF
Record 5ºF in 1905; 2015
Normal High in Baltimore: 47ºF
Record 75ºF 1954
SEASONAL SNOW at BWI
9.1 inches
Click here for the maps and full report
Click here or the map to see: The Snow Report Ending Jan 16
Temperatures will be dropping, with the freezing line expected to reach near Annapolis. This will allow for more stickage and accumulation in those areas south of I-95.
Snow will exit the coast, but the upper-level energy may keep snow showers and flurries inland for a few extra hours.
Snow should be coming to an end.
The daylight will help with melting on the roads.. but as it stays near freezing inland, expect icy spots in the shade and a quick refreeze in the evening.
The main event will be Saturday Morning, then quiet as we head into next week.
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Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
