February 12, 2024
Monday Morning Update
This morning may begin with drizzle and fog in some areas. It will be an otherwise dry, mild day. The next storm will arrive with heavy rain tonight, which could bring up to 2 inches of rainfall. Then, colder air will change this over to a wet snow for Tuesday Morning.
The lack of really cold air will limit the impact locally. There are, however, Winter Weather Advisories and Storm Warnings to the mountains west and north. The travel problems on Tuesday will include metro New York and New England.
Already a mild start, thanks to the cloud cover.
Some drizzle and fog around the Chesapeake Bay, but otherwise, we are in the lull before the next storm.
Rain will arrive from the south by this evening. It will be heavy tonight, and then the storm will crank as the colder upper level energy from the central US will catch up. This is the piece that will enhance.
As Low Pressure tracks our way, it will bring heavy rain tonight, then pull colder air for a change over Tuesday morning.
The heavy snow accumulation will be in the mountains of far Western Maryland and to the north. This has a chance for some impact around Hagerstown, which is why they have a Winter Weather Advisory in place.
Locally, the marginal temperatures may allow for slushy snow on the grass in areas just north/west of Baltimore. Local roads should remain wet with the temperatures above freezing.
Much of our region is in line to receive 1 to 2 inches of rainfall.
Sunrise at 7:02 AM
Sunset at 5:40 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 26ºF
Record 5ºF in 1899
Normal High in Baltimore: 46ºF
Record 73ºF 1999
SEASONAL SNOW at BWI
9.1 inches
Click here for the maps and full report
Click here or the map to see: The Snow Report Ending Jan 16
The back edge of the cold air will catch up to the last few hours of the storm. The morning may have snow falling into Baltimore. This would lower visibility, but still too warm to stick.
Even the ‘upper’ Eastern Shore may get in on brief snow before ending.
I hesitate to give anything more than this suggestion: A Rain/Snow mix is worth watching for Saturday. I still do not see the needed arctic air for full impact. It might be another slushy snow event. Stay tuned.
The week will remain with near to below normal temps… but not much arctic air.
Valentine’s Day will be chilly, then another Rain/Snow mix to watch for the weekend.
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Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
