December 24 Christmas Eve Early Morning Light Icy Mix
December 24, 2024 Monday Morning Report The result of a few very cold nights will allow this light precipitation to stick. It will only last a couple of hours AND…
January 17, 2024
Wednesday Morning Update
Winter really took little time to establish itself. With fresh snowpack and a clear sky, temps have tanked! Most areas across Maryland and inland are in the teens or colder. Some isolated spots are touching Zero!
The day will remain very cold despite the sunshine. There may be some snow melting in the sun after 10 AM, then refreezing in afternoon shadows or this evening. So watch for icy patches to reform.
The next snow event will be focused on Friday. There is a small chance for flurries on Thursday evening, but let’s focus on the main event. The timing appears to be all day! Light snow will begin in the morning, and we have another likely 1 to 3 inches of snow expected. There is a chance to push those numbers higher, like the last event… That is academic. I would focus more on the impact on travel and schools, and it looks like there may be another SNOW DAY! FITF
Morning Temperatures
Highlight: York PA = 0ºF. This location is in a valley and one of the historically colder spots in Pennsylvania.
Most areas are in the single digits and teens.
Morning Surface Weather
I’ve plotted the temperatures to show the influence of the hard freeze all the way to the Gulf Coast, including North Florida.
The air mass is dry and the winds will be stronger earlier in the day… easing later.
Afternoon Temperatures
Wind Forecast
Not much wind will affect how it feels. Gusts will be higher mid-day, and then the Breeze will ease from west to east during the afternoon and evening.
Wind Chill
In case you missed it…
Click here or the map to see: The Snow Report Ending Jan 16
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY January 17
Sunrise at 7:24 AM
Sunset at 5:10 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 25ºF
Record -7ºF in 1982
Normal High in Baltimore: 43ºF
Record 68ºF 1913
Thursday Weather
Temperatures: Morning
Temperatures: Afternoon
Looking Ahead
The next storm looks similar with the upper-level winds/jet streak in the arctic air mass separated from the surface Low.
The trend is your friend! So we must consider a similar type of event with cold and powder-type snow during the day!
Winter Weather Impact: National Weather Service
Radar Simulation: NAM 3 Km Model
7 PM Thu to Noon Fri
I had mentioned the chance for light snow on Thursday afternoon. The odds are low, but still worth watching for flurries late in the day or at night.
Snapshot: Friday Morning
Snow will be in place early and last most of the day!
Temps will remain cold enough for stickage.
Storm Animation: ECMWF Model
Thursday Afternoon to Saturday Afternoon
This is similar to the last event, with the upper-level energy just a bit far west of the Surface Low. This limits the phasing. If that surface Low tracks west or they can link up sooner, then a larger event will develop.
Snapshots Friday Afternoon
It is likely to be snowing most of the day.
Closer Look
ECMWF Model
GFS Model
Canadian GEM Model
Snowfall POTENTIAL
ECMWF Model
GFS Model
Canadian GEM Model
National Weather Service Snow Outlook
This is not the full event… it goes through Friday Evening.
7 Day Outlook
The cold temperatures all week will allow for full stickage with the Friday snow.
Saturday: COLD for the Ravens game.
Temperatures will gradually modify into next week… Expected to warm up later next week.
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RECENT Winter Outlook Reports:
My Winter Outlook: More Snow
El Niño Winter Updates
Late November: Warm Water Shifts West In Pacific Could Mean More Snow For Eastern US
Computer Models Support East Coast Storm Track
The latest NOAA report is confident in a Very Strong event. Possibly HISTORIC! This refers to the temperatures in the Pacific, with impacts on the US Winter Storm Track.
Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.
Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow
Explore More
Maryland Snow Climate History And Other Winter Pages
Faith in the Flakes Gear
STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back
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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.
#FITF
