November 8, 2023

Monday Morning Update

We have this pattern of one warm day, then one chilly day, and back. Yesterday reached 73ºF in Baltimore, but should remain in the 50s today.

It is because of a wafting frontal boundary that today is to our south. This has brought back the cooler air for us. We will get one more push of warmer air, then a cold front will arrive Thursday into Friday. This weekend will bring a more consistent cooler trend, but there is more warm air in the pipeline next week.

Morning Temperatures

Morning Surface Weather

Afternoon Temperatures

New Report:

Winter Weather Folklore: Top 20 and more signals from nature for snow.

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY November 8

Sunrise at 6:42 AM

Sunset at 4:58 PM

Normal Low in Baltimore:  39ºF

Record 24ºF in 1960

Normal High in Baltimore: 60ºF

Record 80ºF 1975

New Reports:

NEW: NOAA’s Winter Outlook 2024

Other Reports:

Winter Weather: Can Woolly Bear Caterpillar Stripes Really Foretell Snow?

El Niño Advisory: First Look At NOAA’s Winter Outlook Expectations

Winter Outlook 2024 From Two Farmers Almanacs Return to Cold and Snow

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Wind Forecast Wednesday to Thursday Night

If you look closely you can see the winds shift from the colder North today, to a warmer southerly flow Thursday, then back to a colder Northwest flow Thursday night.

Temperatures

Thursday Morning

Thursday Afternoon

Rain Forecast

The cold front will be weak with only scattered showers. The odds of rain are 20% at best, so don’t change your plans.

Looking Ahead

Storm Forecast: Thursday to Sunday

There will be an early winter event in Northern New England. The trailing cold front will be more active Friday and bring rain from the mountains to our southern areas. Colder air in the mountains over 2,000 Ft may bring snow to parts of far Western Maryland and West Virginia.

Colder and dry air will arrive behind it this weekend and into early next week.

Snapshot Friday

Rain may expand out of the mountains across the rest of the Mid-Atlantic during the morning into the afternoon.

Slushy snow may show up on the mountains from Wisp to Canaan Valley and Snowshoe in West Virginia.

Jet Stream

Animation Saturday to Thursday

The next push of cold air will not last long. Next week will bring back another ridge and warm up.

Snapshots

Monday

Thursday

7 Day Forecast

We will get back into a cool weather pattern this weekend and into early next week. The warm-up will follow after that time frame.

Rain is lacking. After Friday, we look dry for most of next week.

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor who can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.

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