June 1 Weather Warming Up And Start Of Hurricane Season

June 1, 2023

Thursday Update

We start a brand new month AND the official beginning of Hurricane Season in the Atlantic. Before we get to that warm-up, I want to address the unusual May we just had in our region.

Baltimore’s BWI completed May Headlines

• Cooler Than Average -1.6ºF
• Dry -3.30” Rainfall Deficit
• Building Drought Conditions

Also:

• Pennsylvania had the first May on record with NO SEVERE STORM WARNINGS

The weather may remain pleasant but we are in desperate need of rain. While a few showers are in our forecast, it will not be enough to help. In the mix, we get a brief taste of summer heat, but the pattern looks to reinforce the cooler temps next week.

Morning Surface Weather

The squeeze between a stalled compact Low and High Pressure off the coast will continue to keep a cool wind for the beaches. However, it is losing its grip inland. That will allow a warm-up today and some heat to arrive on Friday.

Cloud Forecast

Animation 8 AM to 6 PM

Any morning clouds on the Lower Easter Shore will diminish during the day. Most of the region will end up Mostly Sunny.

Afternoon Temperatures

Warmer inland and cooler by the beaches.

Smoke Forecast

We will have some haze today, but watch it disperse through tomorrow as a new air mass builds in.

Explore More:

2023 Hurricane Season Forecast With An El Niño Watch

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CLIMATE DATA

TODAY June 1

Normal Low in Baltimore:  58ºF

Record 42ºF in 1966

Normal High in Baltimore: 80ºF

Record 98ºF 2011

Friday Temperatures

Morning

Afternoon

I had pulled back on the 90s for a few days, but the model guidance is supporting temps breaking that barrier for urban areas for at least this one afternoon.

Weekend Weather

Radar Simulation: Saturday Morning To Sunday Evening

Rain showers and a few thunderstorms will develop Saturday afternoon, then we remain dry with cooler air on Sunday. We need rain and this is not going to help the drought. Our chance of rain will be about 50% and only for brief showers. Not a long-duration soaker.

Snapshot: Saturday Afternoon

There will be an unsettled Northeast wind that will help develop showers and a few thunderstorms.  The chance will be about 50%.

NEXT WEEK

Jet Stream Animation: Friday to Wednesday

After a brief warm-up, the overall pattern will turn cooler for much of the Eastern US. This will be in part due to a closed and nearly stalled storm pattern off the coast of New England.

Monday Snapshots

Another push of cooler winds from the north.

Surface Weather

Rain may be confined to coastal New England.

Wednesday Snapshot

If this Upper Low can hang closer there is a chance many may stay in the 60s for the afternoon.

Surface Weather

A better chance for showers.

7 Day Forecast

Our taste of summer will be brief. The larger cool air mass will dominate next week.

OTHER REPORTS:

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RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos, and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes, and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it: I have dyslexia, and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing, and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.  There has been no editor that can check my work when I needed it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos, when she is able. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm.

#FITF

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