February 4 Historic Cold For Mount Washington And Our Big Warm Up

February 3 2023

Saturday Morning

I get it! We have not had much winter other than these brief bursts of arctic air and a few days of headlines about the Polar Vortex. The reality is that weather phenomenon did clip the Northeast US and resulted in new weather records at Mount Washington in New Hampshire. This was already known to have the World’s Worst Weather.

I want to highlight what they experienced, the current weather there and here, then focus on our big warm up.  I also want to highlight that there is more winter ahead and the models are trying to show something as soon as next weekend.

Polar Vortex- Saturday Morning

This is the location as it exits into the North Atlantic.

Mount Washington Weather

Last Night at 8 PM I posted this:

At 8 PM Fri Feb 3 2023

• Breaking The Record and trying for more
• Mount Washington, NH
• -46ºF (all time coldest record -47ºF in 1934)
• Peak Wind Gust was 127 mph earlier (231 mph set in 1934)
• Wind Chill -108ºF
• THIS IS THE LOWEST EVER IN USA

Saturday Morning Conditions

Click here to see the latest Live weather report.

Video From Mount Washington

JUST IN; Mount Washington, New Hampshire wind chill drops to -108°F (-78°C), lowest ever recorded in the USA.

pic.twitter.com/UHnmpWd18Q

— Remarks (@Remarks) February 4, 2023

Morning Temperatures

-45ºF and warming up a little already.

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is passing through our region today. That will keep the wind calmer and sky mostly sunny. A warmer air mass will be racing in over the next few days.

Local Weather

Morning Temperatures

Wind Animation 7 AM to 7 PM

We can see High Pressure passing directly overhead. This will keep us sunny with light wind. Then a shift from the south will begin the warming trend.

Afternoon Temperatures

Recovering close to freezing, but the light winds will shift to a southerly flow.

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CLIMATE DATA

TODAY February 4

Normal Low in Baltimore:  25ºF

Record 5ºF in 1918

SNOW: 7.2” 1995

Normal High in Baltimore: 44ºF

Record 72ºF 1991

Sunday Weather

Morning Temperatures

These numbers may be similar to the afternoon on Saturday.

Afternoon Temperatures

Definitely a much more comfortable day, however we may have more cloud cover.

Looking Ahead

Jet Stream Saturday To Saturday

The Polar Vortex departs and a large ridge builds in very warm temps next week. This will be followed by another colder impulse next weekend.

Snapshot Next Weekend

This impulse will have a colder pocket with it and may try to bring in a winter component to the storm complex.

Thursday To Saturday

The storm pattern does ride the warm air with rain, then a possible last wave shifting south with colder air and maybe inland snow.

Next Weekend Snapshot

Please keep in mind that this is an 8 day outlook, but there has been some consistency with yesterday to bring in a weather event with colder air.

The more reliable ECWMF (European) Model is the more robust plot and worth watching. I will keep tabs on it.

7 Day Forecast

A quick warm up begins tomorrow and as often is the case, we get the other extreme of warm air next week. This will bring in rain at the end of the week, but the longer range does bring winter back next weekend.

Also See:

Winter History: Low Snow And Late Starts

See my research based on Baltimore data since 1883.

NOAA Outlook: Colder Start To February

Click here for the full report

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STEM Assemblies/In School Fields Trips Are Back

Click to see more and ‘Book’ a visit to your school

My Winter Outlook: Not A Typical La Niña!

I see many factors to support colder influence with multiple systems. Early and later in winter. Check it out.

https://justinweather.com/2022/11/22/winter-outlook-2023-for-snow-not-typical-la-nina-plus-polar-vortex-disruption/

Also See The Winter Outlook Series:

Atmospheric Memory Suggests Active Winter Storm Pattern Outlook

Winter Outlook 2023 From NOAA Very Different Than Farmers Almanacs

Farmer’s Almanac Comparison

Winter Outlook 2023 Early Look At Snow From Two Farmers Almanacs

Triple Dip La Niña Winter

https://justinweather.com/2022/09/09/winter-outlook-2023-la-nina-triple-dip-expectations/

CONNECTION TO WINTER?

If you want a snowy winter, this is what you might want to look for in the rest of the tropical season.

Record August For No Named Tropical Storms: Closer Look At Snow Following

Wooly Bear Caterpillars

Winter Weather Outlook From The Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Persimmon Seeds

Winter Weather Outlook: Persimmon Seeds And Snow Folklore

Click to see Top 20 and MORE

Winter Weather Folklore Top 20 And More Outlook Signals From Nature For Cold And Snow

Normals And Records: Maryland and Baltimore Climate History

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